Carter's Poll Numbers, July 1980

What were Carter’s poll numbers like at this point in the 1980 election? Was it close? Or was Reagan running away with it by then?

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Fairly close, with a strong Independent third party candidate added into the mix.

It depends on what polls you looked at. Some had Reagan slightly ahead, some had him slightly behind. Reagan surged a bit as it got closer to the election (especially after the debates), but he never ran away with it in the polls. Most of the polls predicted a fairly close election all the way up until the end.

Then Reagan won by a landslide. It made the pollsters look a bit silly.