Hey, I bothered! I asked ChatGPT to read this thread and give its opinion of @cladking. The response was very long so I’ll just post the introductory paragraph, the main points without the details – though details can be provided if anyone is interested – and part of the conclusion: Emphasis is mine.
My candid opinion: I don’t think “delusional” is the most useful description, at least not in the clinical sense. But as an argument about biology, what he’s saying is profoundly wrong, and the pattern of reasoning is unusually resistant to correction. The latter is probably what gives readers the impression of delusion.
- He has constructed a private definition of evolution
- His wolf → dog example doesn’t demonstrate what he thinks it demonstrates
- He’s repeatedly making an argument from appearance of suddenness
- There’s an enormous epistemological problem with his theory
- There is also a remarkable disconnect between his confidence and his knowledge
And it concludes as follows:
He has developed a highly idiosyncratic explanatory framework and become extremely committed to it, while lacking enough grounding in the relevant scientific literature to recognize where his framework conflicts with established results.
There’s also a strong Dunning–Kruger-like component, although I wouldn’t diagnose him with Dunning–Kruger either. What’s striking is the combination of:
- very high confidence;
- very broad claims;
- unconventional terminology;
- rejection of established terminology as fundamentally mistaken;
- selective interpretation of evidence;
- continual expansion of the theory to encompass apparently contradictory evidence;
- and an apparent inability to identify an observation that would make him abandon it.
And that last one is the killer.