One thong occurs to me: in 2016, by all accounts, Trump really didnt think he would win, and he didn’t really care. Once he won, it apparently gave him a thrill he’s been chasing ever sincs. 2020, he really, really thought he’d win, get another hit on that pipe. But he didn’t, and the letdown was epic enough to spawn Jan 6 and everything else.
This time, on some level, he muat be unsure. And I don’t think he does we with uncertainty. Its not his natural habitat.