For those who didn’t see it, this was the scenario:
Tie game, early third quarter. Chiefs face 2nd and 18, and get 17 on the play, setting up a 3rd and 1 on their opponents’ 24, putting them well within field goal range. But there’s a holding penalty on the play, and Reid chooses to take the 5 yards and the first down instead. This gives them 1st and 10 at the 37, only within range for a very long field goal. Was this the right choice? It feels wrong to me, but then I don’t think penalties should work this way anyway (I think you should always get some benefit from the penalty, even if you are better off to decline it).
The only scenario where this would make sense to me is if you had a lead very late in the game, and getting a first down would allow you to go into “victory formation”.
I wrote the above while pausing the game, before anything happened post-penalty, because I know from poker that “results-based” thinking is bad. One data point doesn’t prove anything. But I’ll still note that on the ensuing series, they lost three yards and ended up punting from the 40.