FabianBlume, if China’s growth rate continues to develop so much faster than the US, it’s economy could easily surpass the American economy in some decades. I would guess that if you take the growth of both economies in the last 5 or 10 years and project it into the future at the same rate, China’s would match the USA’s in just some decades. Whether that will happen or not is another question. To me there is no question that China’s economy will grow faster, just because it is catching up. The uestion is how much faster?
Anothe important aspect is the political will to maintain a large military. Europe has an economy of a comparable size to the USa but it does not have the political will to spend the money on maintaining a large military.
The Soviet Union OTOH, had the will to spend a greater percentage of its GDP than the USA. We would have to see what China decides to do but, for now, they certainly have quite an interest in modernizing their armed forces.
In any case, there is virtually no risk that the USA and China would ever go head to head. Their might and power would count in world influence and in local conflicts in other places.
Chian already has enough influence and power that the USA and Europe have to listen very carefully. Taiwan is legally not an independent country because the USA and Europe cannot afford to piss off China. When taiwan goes around shopping for arms, many countries pass the juicy contracts because they cannot afford to piss off China.
Already today china has enough economic power and weight that it counts a lot in the world and that power is only oing to grow more.
Measuring the power of China versus the USA in terms of an all out war is just silly because it is not going to happen. It is like saying you are as powerful as Bill Gates because he can’t kill you.
I expect China’s economy to grow in the coming decades to becoma a major player in the world. In proportion the economy of the USA, while continuing to grow in absolute numbers, its share of the world economy will continue to diminish which means the power of the USA in the world will also diminish. My guess is the share of the world economy is spreading more among North American, European and Asian countries and I think it is a good thing too.