Hi all, I live since 1999 in the Central Visayas in the middle of the Philippines, I have a quality German made analog weather station that indicates, temperature, humidity and pressure, my lowest readings were always around January, February, the temperatures never went below 23°Celsius.
This year is altogether much cooler than any other year and now we had last night only 22°Celsius.
The forecast for this coming weekend are below 20°Celsius, does anybody have an explanation for this?
Thanks
Your sample time frame is simply too low. 15 years isn’t enough. Now, if you had data for 100 years and you reach a new low, you can make better conclusions about what’s happening.
You didn’t say where in Central Visayas you are, so I’ll take a guess and say you’re in Cebu. Average minimum temperature in Cebu for the month of March is 24°C. Record low for March is 19°C. Your temperature is right in the ballpark:
http://www.myweather2.com/City-Town/Philippines/Cebu/climate-profile.aspx?month=3
As to why it’s colder this time of year, the answer is the northeast monsoon bringing cold air down from Siberia.
Part of that cold weather may be related to the mild El Niño conditions in the Pacific right now. If you look at the Sea Surface Temperature (and temperature anomaly) animations in the link, you can see that warm water that typically surrounds the Philippines is moving east, and there’s a small amount of unusually cold water arriving at the northern Phillipines. Even though you’re in the central Philippines, the resolution of those animations is pretty low, so you may be getting some of that northern colder water, which would then lower your air temperatures.