7,739,424 total cases
428,336 dead
3,966,208 recovered
In the US:
2,116,922 total cases
116,825 dead
841,934 recovered
Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:
Thank you for doing this, Bo. I check it every day, and I appreciate the summaries.
/bows
Yesterday was the 4th month since I started posting numbers, but I didn’t do the same recap; it’s too lengthy now. But 1 month ago…
35,035 deaths in the US this last month.
Canada is up to 8,000 deaths.
In time the government will be rightly criticized for doing a shitty job. They are escaping criticism for now by being a bit better than the Trump administration.
The Toronto Transit Commission, which runs public transit in a city of almost three million people, has decided to mandate passengers wear masks - but isn’t imposing that rule for three weeks. Because the virus will wait three weeks to infect anyone on the subway, I guess.
Beijing closes produce market over new virus cases:
There’s a lot more on the 7-pager article linked. I found out about it when my school department head sent out a text on WeChat titled “Emergency Investigation” to find out if anyone in our department had, within the last fourteen days, been to Xinfadi Market, Beijing-Shenzhen Seafood Market, and Songyuli Market. Shortly after that text, my wife called me to tell me about the number of people testing positive for COVID-19 at the Xinfadi Market.
Grades 1 through 3 of my school were supposed to be returning to campus Monday, 15 June 2020, but the cancellation announcement for that was sent out just before 7 p.m. Friday. Apparently the powers that be decided that bringing those kids back to campus for a grand total of three weeks of instruction is probably not a good idea, especially when another primary school in the city just had to order approximately 40 students, staff, and their families to go into quarantine because of a few positive test results at that school.
A few people posting in my church branch’s Elders’ Quorum WeChat group somehow got the idea that China’s ban on foreigners entering the country is absolutely going to be over when the clock strikes midnight on 31 October 2020. I corrected their view but what the hey? How did they get that idea? That absolutely is not what China’s government announcement said. The restrictions are “in place at least through October”. That means that by the end of October, there will be a further announcement. And if you think that announcement is “all clear”, go beat your head against the wall to knock some sense into yourself.
I seriously doubt this pandemic will be over this year.
81,795 ÷ (81,795 + 262,225) = 0.24.
So of the people who no longer have COVID-19, 24% of them no longer have it because they’re dead. Using the math I see in memes, a 24% death rate equals a 99.9% survival rate. 
Question about numbers:
According to the CDC, there were 98,695 deaths in the U.S. involving COVID-19 as of June 12th. The site does not list the number of people who have recovered.
Google says that as of an hour ago there were 116,347 COVID-19 deaths and 645,606 recoveries.
Whose numbers are correct? Does the CDC present the number of people who have recovered? If so, where?
FWIW, using Google’s numbers there were 761,953 cases that have been resolved either by recovery or by death. 116,347 ÷ (116,347 + 645,606) = 116,347 ÷ 761,953 = 0.15. Fifteen percent is better than the 24% derived from Snowboarder Bo’s numbers from a month ago. i.e., more people are surviving.
But I’d really like to see recovery numbers from an unimpeachable source like the CDC.
I don’t think that recovered people are tracked very carefully. If someone is hospitalized and recovers, that might get recorded as a recovery. But if you get a positive test and recover on your own at home, there may or may not be followup to see what happened to you.
Not only are recoveries poorly tracked, but lots of cases aren’t detected, outside of a few settings where it’s feasible to test everyone (e.g., nursing homes, that aircraft carrier that had an outbreak), and these are overwhelmingly asymptomatic or mild cases that people survive. So estimates of fatality rates use information from antibody studies to estimate the number of undetected cases. For example, this article from April 23 estimates that 2.7 million people in New York State had had the disease by then, but the official case count in the state was 268,581 on April 23.
There are also a few countries, like Iceland and New Zealand, that actually have managed to detect, track, and follow up on the vast majority of their cases. The US, to say the least, is not in that category.
A new cluster of coronavirus infections has suddenly popped up in Beijing.
I saw something similar from a Facebook “friend.” I remarked, “Wow, we now have a million cases in the US” and he replied, “We were there a long time ago.” And that seems to be the crux—the claim is that number of infections is much higher.
Working it backward, then, 81,795 ÷ .01 =8,179,500 actual infections.
Of course the number of infections doesn’t figure into the death rate because those people are neither recovered or deceased.
After a string of days with new cases in the single digits, yesterday Hawaii recorded 15 new cases. But 10 of them were all in one family living together on central Oahu, linked to a previous known case.
Trudeau wasn’t perfect but Canada would have been one of the success stories if Ontario and Quebec hadn’t left all the nursing homes to rot away.
My bad, that would be 1%, not 0.1%. In other words, 81,795,000 infections. I know some have also claimed we’re lumping seasonal flu deaths in with it as well.
Here’s one article that addresses the 99.9% figures, which I hadn’t seen.
7,865,716 total cases
432,394 dead
4,040,715 recovered
In the US:
2,142,224 total cases
117,527 dead
854,106 recovered
Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:
I beat you by three hours twenty-four minutes.
And after yesterday’s 15 new cases, today saw 17 new ones. Both days, all on Oahu. But while 10 of yesterday’s 15 were all in one family in one house, 12 of today’s 17 were all in one family in one house.
When it comes to statistics, it ould be interesting to see the actual recorded death total compared with what would have been expected in the same period in a ‘normal’ year.