I’ve been following these numbers.
The % includes those ineligible.
But you can’t add the percents. The fully vaccinated are included among those with at least one dose.
And the 3-4m/day is doses, not completed courses.
I know one source I read recently had % of those eligible as one of the numbers. It was probably the Washington Post. I’ll check for it later.
Thanks all for the clarifications.
So for round numbers we have 33% = 1/3rd of Americans demonstrating by deed not word that they will accept being vaccinated. And we’re growing that number at a bit less than 1% per day and will soon be doing a full 1% a day.
So we’re probably at least 20-40 out days until we start to see the vaccination effort running out of willing arms on a national scale. Locally it looks that’s already happening in some areas.
I’ve been tracking both % total and % eligible in my state, and sometimes comparing to national figures. Just from the number, i know this one is % total.
If you look at vaccination by age group, you can see that nationwide, the 75+ group seems to be leveling of at about 70% vaccinated. It’s higher in my state. But nearly everyone in the 75+ has been able to get at least a first dose of they want to, and that % is nearly complete.
I’m hopeful that the numbers for younger adults aren’t too much lower.
Bloomberg, NPR, and the Washington Post are all publishing decent data on it (which match, they must all be looking at the same underlying source). Any can be found by googling “source vaccination rate”. NPR and WaPo versions are free, and Bloomberg lets you read it several times before asking you to subscribe.
Bloomberg has international data, the other two are US. They have slightly different cuts and different visualizations.
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/
Sorry I was unclear. I wasn’t questioning your answer – just mentioning that those numbers are out there if people are interested in seeing them.
133,051,972 total cases
2,887,039 dead
107,301,408 recovered
In the US:
31,560,438 total cases
570,260 dead
24,122,221 recovered
Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:
India:
NY, NJ, Pa, FLa. and Mich. account for almost half the new cases of coronavirus.
Contest to make a better mask. Up to $500K to win.
I hope this is a good sign
On the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus site, I see that the worldwide daily reported ne cases, after an ominous rise over the past couple of weeks, appears to be going down. I hope that’s for real, and not some reporting or statistical glitch.
In most countries the daily new cases appears to be receding, at least for now. The dark cloud to this silver lining is that in some countries the new caseload is going sharply up – the already-mentioned India (which now leads the world in daily cases, as it had back in September), the Ukraine, Iran, the Philippines, and probably others not listed on their page.
In the US, the rise in cases in Michigan looks as if it may have peaked, or at least paused, shy of setting a new record. Vermont has declined from its weekly-averaged peak of a few days ago. a few other states are rising, but not rapidly, and nowhere near their record levels
20-40 days to get one shot in arms. Since the majority of vaccinations in the US are the two shot variety, it will take closer to twice that time to reach 60-70%.
But the evidence suggests that a single shot confers pretty good (if potentially short-term) resistance. The first shot is the most important one.
don’t forget to add in the j&j one shot into the data.
it is a bit more rare but is getting into arms. i know of one person who has that vaccination. she is in the school system.
The “at least one dose” includes one dose of J&J. The "fully vaccinated
also includes one dose of J&J. the “enough for n people to be fully vaccinated” numbers that you sometimes see are (mRNA doses / 2 + J&J doses).
I guess this is no surprise.
Joyce Ann Kraner is eager for the pandemic to end and for life to get back to normal. Kraner, 49, wants to be able to hug her mother, who lives in a nursing home.
But she says she has no plans to get the vaccine, even though it’s widely available in her community of Murfreesboro, Tenn. “I feel like I’m healthy,” she says.
My bold.
…
A recent NPR/Marist poll found that one in four Americans said they would refuse a coronavirus vaccine outright if offered. Another 5% are “undecided” about whether they would get the shot.
…The numbers who may refuse the vaccine remain potentially too high to contain a respiratory virus such as SARS-CoV-2, which requires a large segment of the population to be immune. Nobody knows exactly how large, but based on other diseases, researchers believe it is far above the current 32% of the U.S. population that’s gotten at least one shot to date.
“What most of us want is a safe return to something that looks more normal,” says Samuel Scarpino, who models the coronavirus outbreak at Northeastern University. “That to me means 80% to 85%, probably, vaccinated.”
…
I think they’re idiots but if we have a safe and effective vaccine does it matter that much? How many compromised people can’t take any of the vaccines?
I’m not sure I’ve got your meaning here. I hope I’m wrong but I think you’re saying why should we care because (mostly) only the idiots will be dying?
Even if only the idiots get severely sick and die, that’s still a) a terrible tragedy, b) devastating to the functioning and economy of the country, c) potentially devastating to a huge number of innocent children and grandchildren, d) potentially devastating to people who need medical care, our health system in general, and the people who have to work in it. Etc, etc.
As long as you’re willing to accept the risk of variants that the current vaccines can’t handle, I guess it doesn’t matter. For me the prospect of a population in which the virus continues to circulate and mutate is worrisome.
Give me some sage words to bring my level of worry down.
Yeah, this is the problem even if you don’t care whether the “idiots” die. Every infection is another opportunity for a mutation that makes the current vaccines less effective.