Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) Thread - 2021 Breaking News

New York City:

200,304,173 total cases
4,259,667 dead
180,563,688 recovered

In the US:

36,049,015 total cases
630,497 dead
29,756,586 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

Worldwide there have now been more than 200,000,000 Covid-19 cases.

In the US there have now been more than 36,000,000 Covid-19 cases.

What went around came around.

Indonesia:

(bolding mine)

China:

And now surveillance data from the UK is starting to confirm that Israel was right and CDC was wrong. Vaccine efficacy? About 50-60%. There you have it, folks: the vaccines are NOT 90% effective. You will end up in the doctor’s office or worse if you continue with this assumption. I honestly don’t know what is going on at CDC.

In a recent interview, Dr. Gottlieb summed up what my thoughts are. CDC does a lot of good things. They are good at surveillance, but this pandemic reveals the need for an agency that can give accurate data in real time, and we just don’t have that. CDC tends to be about 2-4 weeks behind on pretty much everything, which is unfortunate.

The good news? We’ll probably get to some level of herd immunity within the next 2-4 weeks…whether we want to or not.

This is specifically against Delta, FWIW.

Also FWIW – only Pfizer and Astra-Zeneca vaccines are included in the study. While Moderna is an mRNA vaccine like Pfizer, it’s dosage is over three times larger (100 mcg vs 30 mcg), and – speculatively – that could have an impact on breakthrough prevalence.

Further, from your link:

Some recent research has suggested that Delta is more likely to break through and cause infection in vaccinated people and that infected vaccinated people may then have a similar viral load initially as unvaccinated people, raising fears that they may also be as contagious as the unvaccinated. But this new research actually showed that vaccinated people had smaller viral loads on average, while other studies have found that vaccinated people clear their infection faster, limiting their window of transmission.

Here’s another cautionary tale:

Oh, and we have a Round Two starting Friday; it’s baaaaaaaaaaaaack:

201,008,826 total cases
4,270,245 dead
181,015,550 recovered

In the US:

36,176,471 total cases
631,299 dead
29,787,316 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

They seem to have adjusted totals a bit at WoM and added about 250,000 cases to the total at some point. Yesterday’s total, which would have been set a couple of hours before I posted last night, is now 252,000 more than what I found.

I know some of y’all notice that kind of thing.

This is inevitably political, but it’s statistical and striking, too. Have a look at the plot at the top of it

The piece is interesting reading.

One moral: Don’t live in a county named “McPherson”

From that excellent Daily Kos link:

  • Only 3 counties have broken the 85% threshold for full vaccination: Kalawao County, HI (pop. 86), Nantucket, MA (pop. 11,400) and Los Alamos County, NM (pop. 14,700). Bristol Bay Borough, AK (pop. 900) is next in line, however, at 83.9%.

  • Miller County, AR (pop. 43,200) has the lowest vaccination rate in the country at just 9.0%. It’s one of 4 counties nationally which have vaccinated less than 10% of their total populations, along with Slope County, ND (pop. 750), McPherson County, SD (pop. 2,400) and McPherson County, NE (pop. 500).

  • Of counties with more than 100,000 residents , the top-vaxxed are Santa Fe, NM (74.9% vaxxed); Marin County, CA (73.6% vaxxed); and Cumberland County, ME (71.4% vaxxed)

  • Of counties with more than 100,000 residents, the least -vaxxed are Shelby County, AL ; Livingston County, LA ; and Robeson County, NC , none of which have vaccinated more than 26% of their total populations to date.

  • There are 45 counties with more than 1 million residents. Of those, the highest-vaxxed is Montgomery County, MD (71.0% vaxxed) while the lowest-vaxxed is San Bernadino County, CA (40.5%).

At prevention infection.

Preventing infection is not what the vaccines were designed to do or what was studied in the vaccine trials. It happens to be a nice bonus.

The vaccines are still extremely effective at preventing serious illness and death.

Agh, should read “preventing infection.”

Florida:

Marin County represent!

@asahi, Please stop spreading anti-vax propaganda.

It’s not anti-vax propaganda at all; it’s important that people have accurate information about the efficacy of the vaccines. I’d appreciate it if you take back that comment.

Employers like mine, for instance, are making decisions about enforcing mask mandates and forcing people to come back to work in a poorly ventilated office. Why? Because CDC says these vaccines have 90-95% accuracy, and there’s a growing body of data showing that this is wrong.

I took it as sarcasm. [Where are those sarcasm tags??]

Yes, and people are also making decisions on whether to get vaccinated. Incorrectly telling people that the vaccine only has a 50-60% effectiveness, rather than the actual number of greater than 90%, discourages people from getting the vaccine.