Just curious. Internationally in modern industrialized nations gay people wield a considerable amount of economic4 horsepower. If Cheneya is really putting gay people in prison camps and killing them is there any conceivable way that gay people have enough economic horsepower to raise some kind of military force that would be able to defeat Chechnya?
What say you had 10 gay billionaires who were willing to devote up to 20 billion dollars total to go after Chechnya. Is there any conceivable way they could defeat the military there and overthrow the government by force?
Don’t suppose it’s impossible, given the conditions you’ve described. Chechnya isn’t a particularly large or populous nation, nor particularly wealthy. That said, the putative Rainbow Army would have to be prepared to get pretty hard core - Imposition of an unpopular government by outsiders is fraught, and almost always ends in tears.
Plus in the particular case of Chechnya, the place is a Federal Component of the Russian Federation. One that tried to secede and it took the Russian Army a decade of on and off *hard *fighting to get back in line (sure, it was the Yeltsin-era Russian Army, but still… ). So I don’t think our buddy Vlad the Shirtless would take kindly to such shenanigans.
Remove *that *factor, and regime change because of a foreign intervention could happen in a place with the statistics of a standalone Chechnya. But as mentioned, it’s not easy to move on from that… and the main rebel group now opposing the established government are mostly hardcore-Islamic themselves, so it’s not like there’s a liberal progressive movement with wide popular support at the ready to take over.
It wold depend on whether the rest of the world, USA, Russia, etc. would just stand on the sidelines and watch. You’re talking about $20 billion being spend on an army of mercenaries, who would use conventional means of force to eliminate their opposition. Why do you think that would be prettier than what is going on now? You’re talking about something very similar to what ISIS is already doing in Syria – military force to overcome a sovereign state whose policies are deemed as socially unacceptable.
How much is $20-billion? It is 2% of what the US spent to win the hearts and minds of Iraq. How is that working for you?
You do know that Chechnya is part of Russia, right? I mean, Chechens aren’t ethnic Russians, but you can’t invade Chechnya without going through the Russian Army first. And while the Russkis may be a bit ragged compared to their Soviet glory days, I don’t think a privately funded mercenary force is up to the job.
It’s probably a fair assumption that the Russian interest will fall on the side of resisting an invasion of part of their country. I give it slightly better odds than gay people successfully banding together to militarily defeat Rhode Island.
No need to hire mercs – which concept is a trifle passe anyway — your billionaires could just recruit 1000s of raw idealistic gays as a gay crusade ( maybe a word not prominent in the literature ); whip them into shape in training camps in the USA by gay ex-military; then air-drop them near the capital in a sudden strike with near to state-of the-art weaponry. And plan a new gay/capitalist friendly administration with separation of church and state.
As usual they may be welcomed as liberators.
Cheetolini is already off the clock at Mar-a-Lago for the weekend, President Bannon’s plate is full w/ deporting and bombing brown people, while Vice-President Kushner is on a family ski trip in Canada till next week.
Of course, Putin may not have given them their approved opinion yet, who knows?
With that $20 billion, I’d move back a few steps and try to influence hearts and minds first. Military force should be the last step, and if you do things right, it should not be necessary.
In other words, work within the existing culture to increase acceptance of gay people. This might mean answering questions like, “Why is the largest opposition Islamic?” “What are the attitudes toward women?” “Is there a culture of political criticism (a Loyal Opposition)?”
While those efforts are going on, I’d have a robust (and appropriately publicized) refugee program to get existing members of the targeted group out. $1 billion out of the $20 billion would sponsor a lot of immigrants…
For what it’s worth, as I recall, back in the 50s, a bunch of gays in San Francisco moved up to Alpine County, south of Lake Tahoe, and tried to form a majority of voters. Alpine County then had a population of 241 (it’s over 1,100 now), and a hundred or so ad-hoc residents could have elected an all-gay county government. But I think the effort fell short of the desired turnout.
Perhaps for the USD 20 bln you would start first with the Parent State of the Chechen regional government, Russia.
It seems most of the posters here do not understsand the Chechen regional government is (1) a creature and a creation of Putin and (2) a regional entity within the Russian state.
Writing about a war against the Chechen puppet regional government is like writing about a war against the Texas government… and forgetting abou the USA.
The questions about “political criticism” and political culture are completely silly outside of understanding first it is part of the Russian state and it is 100% sponsored and imposed by the Putin regime.