On the Today show today, Tom Delay made the following statement about gun regulation.
He has evidently made this claim previously (I found a reference to an NRA meeting in 2005). I was…surprised…by this. Are there any actual statistics that show a precipitous drop in these type of robberies concurrent with a concealed weapon law? If so, any evidence that suggests causation?
I doubt Tom Delay ascertained the reason for a drop in crime, if there was one, by reading the the minds of all the would-be criminals as he seems to be claiming. Well, maybe Tom understands the criminal mind better than the rest of us but still, the leap to cause and effect is a long one in this case.
I personally don’t know of evidence that concealed weapons laws reduce crime, but on the other hand, during the CHL debate in Texas, it was predicted by opponents that it was going to cause crime, as in every fender-bender would turn into a shootout (and the TV stations would run clips for Wild West movies whenever they did a story on it). That prediction hasn’t borne out.
So with CCW, muggers don’t know if there’s a gun in the car, so they stopped carjacking? Does open carry in Texas require carrying the gun outside of the vehicle where a mugger can see it? Or maybe there’s some kind of signage involved, alerting the muggers to which cars had openly carried guns.
Also, I assume that when the average rich woman in Texas is faced with a mugger pointing a gun at her, she can open her purse, pull out a gun, aim, pull the trigger, and disable the mugger before the mugger can squeeze the trigger 1/2" or so and shoot her. Because otherwise the woman carrying concealed will probably just lead to one more gun in the hands of the crooks.
I could see it possibly happening on the exit ramps or frontage roads, but yeah, short of forcing a car off the road I have a hard time imagining how a criminal could pull this off on an interstate, especially in Texas where people drive *fast. *
The overwhelming majority of evidence indicates that gun ownership, and concealed carry, don’t directlybeffect crime rates.
You know what does? Poverty, education, social safety nets, family structure, etc.
ETA: (that means more guns doesn’t equal more crime. And less guns doesn’t equal less crime.)
Here in San Diego, we have a number of Indian casinos, almost all of which are located in somewhat remote areas of the county. I have heard numerous times that thieves hang out, wait for a big winner, and then follow them so they can create a fake car accident, at which point they would rob them.
I have always suspected this to be an urban legend, much like the aforementioned ‘rich Texas women’. I can think of so many ways this can go wrong for the robber, even in the best of circumstances. What do you do if the winner is in a large group, or took one of the many free shuttle buses to get to the casino? Likewise, what if the ‘rick Texas woman’ doesn’t have a lot of cash on her at the moment you chose to rob her, just because she has a nice car? There is this thing called a debit and credit card you know… With either example, what do you do if the woman/big winner chooses to pull over in a well lit area with lots of people around? Pulling over on the side of the freeway seems like a bad idea in general given the speed of the traffic around you and doubly so at night. And all this assumes the thief can make the accident look realistic. If I’m going with the flow of traffic and a car suspiciously speeds up behind me to bump me, you can be sure I would be extra careful where I pulled over in general, because I would be more worried they were drunk/on drugs, looking to beat the shit out of me because of road rage, etc. If it was stop and go traffic, I wouldn’t be as concerned, but if a thief robs me in those circumstances, he’s likely to be stuck in the same traffic jam trying to get away, and will have lots of witnesses who will have seen he robbed me.
So I actually did find a reference to a “crime spree” in Houston where three teenagers robbed several people over a few hours in 2004. I think Rumor_Watkins probably had it right - it was a one time occurence, and therefore a tad difficult to attribute a 100% drop in its incidence to a gun law.
Maybe someone found a special rock that keeps carjackers away…