Statements like “Going to College is better than not going” are virtually useless. Nearly as useless are simple measures of college benefits such as comparisons of annual incomes between college grads and non-grads.
Going to college can be the best decision of your life - or the worst. First of all, if you’re making this argument to choose whether or not to go to college, you have to figure in the results of all the people who go but who do not complete a degree. According to this article in the Atlantic, only 56% of people who start a bachelor’s degree finish it within six years. And only 46% of people who start college ever get a degree.
So the first question you have to ask is whether the person you are advising has what it takes to make it through college in the first place. And that doesn’t just mean intelligence and education - it means financial circumstances, family issues, health, etc. And if you’re looking at the overall college income statistics as an argument for going to college, you simply have to factor in the cost of more than half of the people spending tens of thousands of dollars and wasting years of their lives and getting nothing at all.
The second most important thing is the choice of faculty. It drives me crazy to see ‘college grad’ treated as if it’s a monolithic thing. Here in Canada, graduates with degrees in communications, social work or psychology earn well below the Canadian median income. A lot of the basic sciences are very low paying. Anthropologists don’t make much. A degree in ‘environmental science’ (a very popular choice these days) will be lucky to get you a median income. The fine arts are basically a crapshoot. A degree in theater or photography or art appreciation will probably net you exactly bupkis unless you get lucky or are extraordinarily talented - in which case you probably didn’t need the degree anyway.
Even the STEM fields vary widely in income. Get an undergraduate degree in physics, and what are you qualified for? Junior lab work? Research assistant for near minimum wage? How about a general degree in biology? What are you going to do with that? There are jobs out there for field assistants, Museum workers, some jobs for biologists in public health or city management, but none of them pay particularly well and there aren’t that many jobs.
Next you have to consider the cost of the education and the opportunity cost of spending all that time out of the work force. If you have wealthy parents who can fund your education and help kick-start your life once you’re out, that’s one thing. If you’re a poor person who will have to go through on student loans, it’s quite another.
Consider two friends with the same skills, roughly the same intelligence, who went to the same school. One chooses to go to college, while the other decides to apprentice as an electrician. The one who goes to college wants to ‘find herself’ and just be better educated, so she takes a B.A. in English.
Four years later, they meet up. The friend who went into a trade is a certified journeyman. As an apprentice he started at $15/hr, but rapidly worked his way up and now earns the median salary for a Journeyman of $30.05 per hour. He’s got four years of work experience and seniority, has been contributing to a 401(k) and has four years into his pension plan. His job experience and earnings have allowed him to buy his first house, and he’s engaged to be married. He can expect his annual salary to increase to about $88,000, which is the top end of the pay scale for an electrician with 20 years of experience. And since he started young, he’s on track to retire at 55.
The other person has no job, and has come out of school with $120,000 in debt. The median salary for a person with a bachelor of arts degree and less than 5 years of experience is about $40,000. The highest level after 20 years is about $84,000. So she will never make as much as her journeyman friend.
But it’s much worse than that. She’s not going to be able to buy a house for years and years because of that debt overhang. She may have a hard time finding a mate, because people don’t like marrying into large debt. So while her friend is accumulating assets like a house and retirement fund, she’s accumulating more debt through interest. And if she can’t find a job soon, she’s screwed. So perhaps she’ll go back to school and spend a few more years on something practical like a teaching degree or an advanced degree in something. But then she’ll come out closer to $200,000 in debt, be nearing 30, and just trying to get a start on life. In the meantime, her journeyman friend has a family, a home, and a good start on retirement.
This is not an atypical scenario. I know a lot of people who through this exact problem, and it was a lot easier to do ten or twenty years ago than it is now. When I was working my way through college I worked at a Radio Shack, and the guy working beside me had a Master’s degree in English and working at Radio Shack was the best he could do.
We do poor average kids a horrible disservice by pressuring them into college. For a large percentage of them, it’s not worth it. Twenty years ago you could work your way through college and gain work experience and come out debt free. With all the tuition inflation we’ve seen, I don’t think that’s possible any more.
Here in Canada, the worst paying fields (psychology, social work, human services, communications, visual arts) are also among the fastest-growing faculties. There’s something wrong with that. And that something is probably us pushing way too many kids into college - kids who aren’t interested in or qualified to study engineering, pharmaceuticals, medicine, Computer Science or Mathematics - the fields that actually do pay a lot more.