Thanks. Do you have any link to the actual poll that Clwyd’s referencing?
Clwyd only says ‘recent’ as the date of the poll. Clwyd’s opinion piece was written July 05, 2004.
It is very important to note that given the date of the opinion piece, any poll in Iraq necessarily would have been conducted before the interim government actually took power. And, as such would not reflect opinions of how the interim gov has done since it actually has been in power.
This alone disqualifies the opinion piece that you have quoted as evidence that the current averaged Iraqi opinion shows support for the Interim Government.
Yet, I will concede that (if true and accurate) the statistics obliquely referenced in the politician’s letter would be an indication of a predisposition among many Iraqis to be kindly disposed toward Mr. Allawi.
However, without the ability to examine the poll myself, I can’t make a reasonable judgment about the accuracy and fairness of the politician’s comments.
In and of themselves, politician’s comments do not constitute evidence.
Notably, the statistics from the CPA’s public opinion poll taken in May 2004 that were published June 15, 2004 (just 20 days before Ann Clwyd’s opinion piece was published) paint a much different picture than what Clwyd suggests.
Allawi garners only a 23% support rating (5% ‘strongly’, 18% ‘somewhat’) and carries a 61% oppose rating (40% ‘strongly’, 21% ‘somewhat’)
Public Opinion in Iraq
Perhaps there was another poll that came out between June 15, 2004 and July 05, 2004 that revealed the remarkable change in sentiment among Iraqis in the three week differential.
Or perhaps Clwyd merely ‘misspoke’.
As it is, given that the available evidence shows a different picture than what has come from a politician’s pen, I’m inclined to agree with the available evidence.
If you should happen to come across a CPA poll that was published between June 15, 2004 and July 05, 2004 that supports Ann Clwyd’s statement, please post a link.
If I come across such a poll report, I will certainly post a link as well.
Until then, it appears that Clwyd ‘misspoke’.
There has still been no evidence presented to show that the contents of these blogs in anyway constitute a representative sample of the Iraqi opinion.
Until such time, they are all but entirely irrelevant to establishing the averaged Iraqi opinion re the Interim government in Iraq.
If you would please be so kind as to demonstrate that this particular blog and the other blogs you mentioned are a representative sample of Iraqi opinions, then we could proceed to discuss these blogs in the context of this debate about the consensus of Iraqi opinion re Inter Gov.
Currently, they are interesting side notes that are examples of some segment of Iraqi opinions. The question is how representative are these examples? Are the positive opinions re the InterGov held by the bloggers shared with 66% of the populace or 0.66% of the populace?
Once you can demonstrate how widely these opinions are shared, then the significance of the opinions expressed in these blogs in regards to this discussion about how many Iraqis have a positive impression of the IG.