See if this makes sense to you. For Kerry/Edwards to win, they must pull in all the states that Gore did. (Gore won CA, OR, WA, NM, WI, MN, IA, IL, MI, and all the states from DC to Maine, except Bush won NH). Note that, of the “Gore states,” CA gained a vote in the Electoral College after the 2000 reapportionment. However, WI, MI, IL, PA, NY and CT all lost EC votes to “Bush states.” (One DC Electoral College delegate abstained in 2000 as a protest, but presumably would be a Kerry EC vote this time.)
That means Kerry must also pick up NH, which it seems likely he will. Which means if Kerry gets all the Gore states, and NH and picks up one Bush state worth five EC votes (WV or NV, which are toss up or weakly for Bush, respectively), there’s a tie in the Electoral College.
Then what happens? :smack: