Elia Kazan's "A Face in The Crowd" - wow

You’re mixing up political positions with a set of attitudes.

The entire history of demagoguery in America shows that large groups of people will respond to a combination of “you’re really great if only you were given your due” and “you’re being held back by this group.” You can plug in a variety of specific villains - elites, liberals, communists, blacks, the Establishment, immigrants, Jews, urbanites, Catholics - to fit the moment. Once the villain has been identified, anything they say or do, and anything that they are claimed to have said or done, will be believed as a negative. It’s a proven technique that has worked over and over, and is obviously working today.

The point is not that all those Americans think a certain way. It’s that many of them have not thought and reasoned closely on a subject but have a vague set of dissatisfactions that will fit into a framework that is offered them on a platter. Once they adopt that framework, only time or extraordinary circumstances will change it, regardless of its relationship to reality. And yes, I am using terms this vague because they can be applied to other areas than politics and just as obviously are.

A “Proven technique”? When and where?

“Working today”? When and where?

It’s no surprise that you embrace the idiotic, outdated premise of “A Face in the Crowd” if you have such a low opinion of your fellow citizens.

AFITC is a dark comedy, with elements of satiric exaggeration. The degree of LR’s influence is not to be taken any more literally than Dr. Strangelove’s schizoid Nazi mannerisms.

Try telling RNC chairman Michael Steele that Limbaugh has no influence. Come to think of it, Steele may well have been of that opinion prior to their dustup, or he wouldn’t have spoken of Limbaugh like he did. In any event, his contrite response shows that he certainly feels differently now.

You are partly correct that most of Beck’s and Limbaugh’s power derives from their ability to energize the base, as opposed to swaying people firmly opposed (although some in the middle may be influenced as well).

But, why would this rule out their ability to influence public opinion?

No, Limbaugh isn’t going to tomorrow announce that he’s pro-choice and have all his listeners go along. (This is an example of the fallacy of the excluded middle). But he can sway public opinion on individuals quite effectively. E.g., he pretty abruptly announced that John McCain was corrupt and not fit to be president in 2000. I recall a friend of mine (and longtime Rush listener) who had idolized McCain’s war heroics in the runup to the 2000 campaign. My friend quickly changed his mind and voted for Bush in the primary.

Since much of LR’s culture and rhetoric correlates with a lot of the current red-state/Tea Party tenets, I can understand that a conservative might feel insulted by the premise of LR being able to sway people like they were sheep, *if it’s assumed that such schemes would only work on conservatives. * I for one am definitely not of that opinion, and I think that the introduction of Oprah into this discussion is a good illustration that this phenomenon is not unique to the right.

Seriously, if people like Limbaugh, Beck and Oprah can’t influence the public’s opinion on politics, why is there any reason to be concerned about bias in the media?

And yes, I do have a low opinion of the intelligence of a large chunk of my fellow citizens. As the Subgenius Church says, “Do you know how dumb the average person is? Well, by definition, half of them are dumber than that”

Oprah Winfrey. Barack Obama. See prior post.

Another reason you should stop debating Rush or Beck or Maddow and pay attention to what I’m saying about Oprah and how she abslutely proves the premise of AFITC is this: in order to influence the outcome of an election, you don’t have to sway a huge percentage of people, because it’s not a huge percentage of people who make a difference. It’s a fairly small sliver of people known in polls as “undecided”. It’s not like hoardes of people switch their political philosophies for every election - most people can be counted on to vote the same general way no matter who is running.

It’s the handful of folks who CAN be swayed that matter.

I started to say:" And while it can’t be conclusively proved, I think it’s completely legitimate and reasonable and easy to believe that previously apolitical Oprah was the proof in the AFITC pudding" and then I decided to actually look:

That’s the opening of a September 2008 study mentioned and linked to in this article: "The Role of Celebrity Endorsements in Politics:
Oprah, Obama, and the 2008 Democratic Primary"

I should stop reading this thread because the movie sounds interesting and this will probably ruin it, but nevermind all that. You may have felt Obama was going to win after Oprah endorsed him, but that sounds like post hoc ergo propter hoc to me. I think endorsements rarely help anybody, and I don’t think he won in Iowa because of Oprah. Obama was not considered “a laughable longshot” by the time Oprah endorsed him. It was national news when he launched his campaign and he was very well known at that point considering he was a freshman senator. And course, Oprah didn’t endorse him then. She waited until December 2007, about a month before the Iowa caucuses. By then there had already been several polls indicating Obama would win Iowa, although I think everyone would agree Clinton was the favorite. Things started moving more in Obama’s favor a few weeks after Oprah’s endorsement. Oprah got him some news and might’ve contributed some excitement, but I don’t think that’s what helps you win in the Iowa caucuses - it’s making phone calls and shaking hands.

Some more (Wiki has a page evoted to the subject of Oprah’s endorsement of Obama!)

Oprah Rhodes? Lonesome Winfrey?

Read more.

Oprah openly encouraged to run on her show before he did. The official endorsement wasn’t anything like news to the people who watch her.

Never heard of this film before! Just added it to my Netflix queue.

Watched it over the weekend – good flick, very prescient. Andy Griffith did a heck of a job in his first dramatic role.

It was also surprisingly adult, didn’t you think? Very matter-of-fact about sex, for instance, in a manner not often seen in films of the era.

[QUOTE=Exapno Mapcase]
Most sources state that Rhodes was loosely based on the career of Arthur Godfrey, and the best thing anyone can say about that is that Godfrey is almost totally forgotten today. That may be the most hopeful parallel to today’s world about the movie. Every other way to look at it leads to total despair.

[/QUOTE]

Godfrey wasn’t an inspiration for Norma Desmond obviously, but he was something of a real-life one. His ratings declined after Julius Larosa’s firing but he was was still only slightly down from the top of his game and he was majorly powerful: if he complimented a moderately successful restaurant on his show there’d be a line out the door for the next six months, or if he enjoyed a vacation to a particular hotel they’d be booked for months, and likewise if he dissed something on the air (the U.S. Weimaraner Society- deservedly- got deluged with hate mail when they instructed him to drown some albino puppies born to his Weimaraner and he ranted about it on air). When he buzzed a control tower in his private plane and got his license suspended for 6 months (a stunt that would have gotten most people put in jail for at least a few days) the audience basically said “That Art’s a card!”

An interesting difference twixt him and Lonesome was that he really didn’t court plain folks appeal. When he broke his leg he decided to host his TV show from his home in Virginia and there was an argument twixt him and his keepers. His manager and sponsors were against it saying that if the public saw how he lived (lavish mansion on thousands of acres) it would take away his ‘plain folks appeal’, and his argument was “My fans know I’m rich, it doesn’t cost them anything for me to live large, they like seeing it, it’s about the only time they’ll get invited into a mansion for most of them”, and he won. Turned out he was right- his ratings actually went up.

After leaving his show and taking a rest for a while he tried to get back in the game only to find out that he wasn’t wanted. His audience had moved on to other media personalities, NOBODY wanted to work with him anymore, his attitude was as bad as ever, and even as late as the early 1980s when they tried to put together an Arthur Godfrey Reunion retrospective he and Julius Larosa got into a shouting match that all said Godfrey started.

That’s why in the late 1970s and early 1980s (he died in '83) you’d see him hawking life insurance and dog food on afternoon commercials- he didn’t need the money, he was very rich, but he was that anxious to be back in front of cameras and microphones again and it was the only work he could get.