There are many great minds, and many constitutional scholars who think the ERA is alive, and only needs 2 more states.
Perhaps it may go to the next supreme court, after the new president selects a few new supreme court members.
I never heard of Bricker arguing a case before the Supreme Court, perhaps he thinks he is smarter than the Supreme Court and the lawyers who go before it. I am not even sure the current members of the Supreme Court are so sure that the ERA is dead, as is Bricker.
Perhaps Bricker is much smarter than our Supreme Court? I am guessing that Bricker is predicting a 9-0 Supreme Court decision in not allowing ratification of a constitutional ammendment which was ratified by the necessary 3/4 ths of our states, but I am not sure he is taking/guaranteeing bets on a 9-0 decision.
I am not predicting what the supreme court will do, esp since I dont know who will be president in 2004, and I dont know which judges she/he will choose to be on the court.
We know that several members of the supreme court will retire in the next few years, and that the new president will select their replacements. For Bricker, or anyone else, to predict what the new supreme court will decide before even knowing who the new court is comprised of, is not speaking responsibly. No one in the world today can predict what a court which has not been selected yet will do.
The only probablilities, is that it is more likely than not that eventually Florida(after Jeb bush leaves) and Nevada will eventually ratify the ERA, then taking it to the final step of going before the Supreme Court if anyone does formally complain of women finally getting equal rights.
Furthermore, a supreme court decision negating the ERA, after 3/4th s of the states ratified the ammendment, might create a backlash and an upheaval so great that a reintroduction of the ERA would sail thru all the states. Eg, the Dred Scott supreme court decision of 1857, did not result in slavery being in america forever. In fact, some might venture that the Dred Scott decision actually helped blacks get equal rights and put an end to slavery rather quickly after that unpopular and questionable supreme court decision.
Lastly, you might also ask, if any member of the supreme court wants to be remembered in his supreme court career forever as being the judge who prevented women from getting equal rights. For a supreme court judge to want to be remembered as someone who denied women equal rights, as well as being a judge who denied a consitutional ammendment from taking effect after being ratified by the necessary 3/4ths of the states, is grasping at straws.
"By transferring time limits from the text of an amendment to the proposing clause, Congress retained for itself the authority to review the limit and to amend its own previous legislative action regarding that time limit.
In 1978, Congress clearly demonstrated its belief that it may alter a time limit in the proposing clause when it passed an extension of the original seven-year limit for ERA ratification and moved the deadline from March 22, 1979, to June 30, 1982. "
“under the principles of Dillon and Coleman, and based on the fact that Congress voted to extend the ERA time limit and to accept the 203-year-long ratification period of the Madison Amendment as sufficiently “contemporaneous,” it is likely that Congress has the power to legislatively adjust or remove the time limit constraint on the ERA if it chooses, to determine whether or not state ratifications which occur after the expiration of a time limit in a proposing clause are valid, and to promulgate the ERA after the 38th state ratifies.”
http://www.equalrightsamendment.org/viability.htm
http://www.equalrightsamendment.org/analysis.htm