What’s the historical Jeopardy final round winning percentage by place (1st, 2nd and 3rd)? The leader wins the the vast majority of the Jeopardy final rounds that I have watched. It doesn’t help that the contestants often don’t seem to know their optimal wager amount.
Are you asking whether the returning champion is more likely to win today’s game than the two challengers . . . and which of the challengers is more likely to win? Where could we get that statistic?
I think GreenElf is asking what percentage of time the contestant who enters Final Jeopardy with the most money wins the game, and also the percentages for the contestants who enter with the second- and third-most amount of money.
Moving to Cafe Society from GQ.
Colibri
General Questions Moderator
That is the question.
Surely the data is available for analysis from the J! Archive site, they even discuss wagering strategies there. However, doesn’t look like they’ve done the math for you though.
I recommend checking the J! Archive website as it might contain the statistics you’re looking for.
Was stuck on a boring conference call.
Did the numbers for the current season (ignoring the Tournament of Champions since the betting strategies are distorted and winning the specific show may not always be the goal by the end).
55 games
43 (78%) of those games were won by the person who lead going into Final Jeopardy. (This includes one tie)
9 (16%) were won by the person in second place. (This includes one tie)
4 (7%) were won by the person in third place.
Of the 55 games, only 42 were competitive going into Final Jeopardy. The remaining 13 had the leader more than twice the nearest competitor.
So of the competitive Final Jeopardies:
30 (71%) were won by the person in first place.
9 (21%) were won by second place.
4 (10%) were won by third place.