Force people who made money from sub-prime mess to pay for it

I’ll tell you where your scenario falls down there, IdahoMauleMan–the trick is in Section 8 of the Paulson plan which reads, in its 32 word entirety, as follows:

Huh. Reflect on that for a minute. No oversight, no review, no accountability. So basically, we hand Paulson close to a trillion bucks, he puts it into a large canvas sack with $$$ printed on the side, slips his domino mask down over his face and slopes off to Wall Street, where he opens up that window and says “Yo, I buying yo dogshit bags hyeah!” And the little piggies line up.

Here’s where the fun part starts. Phil Gramm, senior executive of UBS (a Swiss bank, but Paulson’s already admitted that he’s totally okay with giving US taxpayer money to foreign banks who were having lotsa fun swapping around toxic CDS bundles but who don’t like getting the dogshit bag just like Americans) comes up to the window and says “Hank, buddy, we go way back–you’re gonna give me 110 cents on the dollar for these wink wink VERY VALUABLE ASSETS, right?” And old Hank does just that! Wow! Lucky Phil!

Then up comes Goldman Sachs, and says “Hank! You worked for us for thirty years, you can’t let your old buddies get fucked in the poopchute just because we were stupid and greedy, right? You wanna give us 150 cents on the dollar, right?” And whee, old Hank reaches into that canvas sack and tosses big old handfuls of money at Goldman Sachs!

Then a whole bunch of people come running up, wanting to sell all kinds of numb shit, like car loans and mountaintop houses in Florida, and Brooklyn Bridges, and bad money orders from Nigerian diplomats and they say “Hank, if you buy these things from us at the value we say they are we’ll give you a blowjob AND toss your salad, whaddaya say?” And old Hank does just that! He buys buckets of cocaine! He has a money giveaway! He gives a million bucks to anyone who’ll stage a bum fight/geek show for his best friends! It’s a PARTAY!

Then old Hank wakes up and decides to just give away shitloads of that cash to various friends of his because he likes them! Whee, it’s Christmas in September with Santa Hank! Hookers and blow! Pretty soon the whole canvas bag is empty–and for some odd reason the American taxpayer wants to know what happened to their money, especially since that giveaway didn’t really do the job (which, by the way, many economists are in no way sanguine that the bailout will do what Paulson swears it will) but they can’t find out because of Section 8.

Even if they DID find out, even if gratuitously illegal things were done with that money, even if millions of dollars had been used to charter a jet for a hundred Wall Street CEOs to take a trip to Bangkok for a little pedophilia tourism on the American people’s dime–not one slim thing can be done about it because of Section 8.

This is the plan, including good old Section 8, that Paulson is suddenly trying to ramrod through Congress with no delay or amendment. Now why, pray tell, should he be so paranoid about people finding out what he did with the money and be able to prosecute wrongdoing if he’s all on the up & up, just wanting to save our hides from the economic disaster he’s been insisting all along isn’t real? Hmmm. Anybody? Bueller?

SmartAleq makes it sound too easy. In fact that one million of subprime mortgages is buried in a bunch of prime mortgages, so no one knows for sure how good they are.

I mentioned reverse auctions since it seemed like a reasonable way to deal with this, but I’ve never seen anything saying that was going to be the mechanism. IdahoMauleMan, did you see a place where it says that they’re doing it that way (if so, I feel very clever.)

On Marketplace yesterday they said that the Feds might take an equity stake in companies being bailed out, as is usually done. If so, they speculated that foreign governments might not like us getting a piece of UBS, say, and would put up their own money.

And only in the Bush Administration would a deal like this be proposed with no oversight. Yikes!

Paulson was not elected. Where does he get off running a new and possibly the most important agency in history?

This idea is absolutely ridiculous.

If your goal is to prevent the collapse of large companies like we’ve witnessed lately, then you would absolutely succeed because there wouldn’t be any large companies to begin with.

Amazing post. Welcome to the boards. Please post as often as your schedule permits.

I think it’s funny & disturbing that people in this thread are trying to blame the politicians, and, of course the Democrats, since, you know, they are the ones who were in power the last eight years.:rolleyes:

Forget the Democrats. Forget even the Republicans.

It’s those stupid shit-faced morons who thought they can squeeze oil from a stone, by making “innovative financial instruments” (my ass!) and making money out of nothing or, worse, out of idiotic loans given to people who can’t afford them.

This is not rocket science. This situation has been predicted many times
Dr Doom warns of derivatives market time bomb

Buffett’s “time bomb” goes off on Wall Street

and many many others.

You don’t have to be Warren Buffet to realize that what these morons did was stupid and bound to blow up in their faces.

What’s bad, of course, is that it blew up in all of our faces.

It’s funny how people are now blaming politicians/the government/etc for not passing “better” regulation. They want Daddy coming in and telling people that they are behaving stupidly and to “stop it, this minute!”

The role of regulation is to provide the ground rules for the free market to operate, to make sure there is a level playing field, and that everyone follows the rules.

The role of regulation is not for the government to tell people or companies what to trade and when to trade it and to avoid risky trades. The free market is supposed to take care of that.

If you want government coming in, in the future, and telling companies: “That trade you are about to make (or that contract you are about to sign, or that ‘innovative financial instrument you just pulled out of your ass’) is too risky, don’t go ahead with it” then it is not a free market any more.

If you think that is the only way for society to function properly, then you have just agreed that the free market has failed and is an unworkable system.

No, regulations could validly command “Thou shalt not guarantee a debt without putting up the necessary assets to back your promise.” That’s a valid regulation.

You’re espousing an absolute free market. I don’t think that works.

This . . . is not really how it worked. The value of the mortgage-backed securities didn’t fluctuate with the value of the real estate that secured the mortgages. Rather, the shit hit the fan when the default rates on the mortgages got a lot higher than the rating on the securities indicated they would be.

The best run-down of the subprime mess for the layman (which definitely includes me, make no mistake) is one-hour spot that aired on This American Life on NPR. Look for it on their website (you can get it as a podcast). There are a view typical liberal douchebag angles thrown in, but it’s pretty good nonetheless.

I like that. That’s good.

“Hank! Buddy! We go waaaayyyy back, don’t we?”

Nice post. :slight_smile:

An absolute free market is one with minimal to no rules, which is unworkable.

Rules are needed to make sure there is a level playing field, that contracts are legally binding, etc. But that is it.

Anything beyond the smallest amount of regulation that enables the functioning of the market is going outside of the scope of a “free market”

If you need to limit how risky loans/contracts/etc can be, in order to make sure the market does not collapse every now and then, then you are limiting the freedom of transactions, so this is not a free market. A properly functioning free-market will, in theory, punish excessive risk takers and therefore there is no need for government to be a nanny and hold market participants’ hands.

Of course, the above is in theory. In practice, we see that a “properly functioning free-market” does not exist because it does not punish excessive risk takers until it is too late and the entire economy is threatened (e.g. LTCM, the recent fiasco, etc)

Why is that a valid regulation? Shouldn’t the parties in the transaction determine whether they are willing to take the risk?

If I want to lend money to someone who can’t put up the necessary assets to back his promise, I should be free to do so, because I may get better returns than if I lend it to someone else.

It’s my money and I should be able to choose the level of risk I am comfortable with.

At least that’s what should be the case in a free market.

Sure. That’s exactly what I’m saying. I’ll be happy to give it a go.

Was just browsing Wikipedia and they seem to list a number of theories from both the left and right, so we have plenty of arrows in our respective quivers with which to start.

The one that is missing, and the one I would argue might be of importance only after monetary contraction by the Fed, is restrictions on branch banking in the Dust Bowl states. I don’t know why they left that one out.

Otherwise, it looks like a reasonable starting point.

And there is one error in Wikipedia you should be aware of. It says that Murray Rothbard was born in 1926 in the Bronx. That is incorrect. He was born in Bethelem, in a manger, on December 25 in the year 0. Please make the appropriate notation in your records.

He’s not talking about the mortgage backed securites, he’s talking about the credit debt swaps.

I’m not talking about the lending side. I’m talking about an agreement whereby company A agrees to guarantee the debt owed by third parties to company B in exchange for periodic payments from B to A. Company B expected A to pay out in the event those third parties defaulted on their obligations, but there was no regulations in place to compel A secure their obligation. That’s why I said they were “sort of like” insurance.

Once these agreements got sold in the marketplace like any other security, the business relationship you’re describing disappeared.

“She,” actually, and yes–what I was illustrating was the unregulated and ultimately nonexistent nature of the credit default swaps. Just because mortgages are the major source of these little gems doesn’t mean that’s the only derivative out there, just the most toxic at the moment. A huge feature causing the toxicity of the default swaps is that they’re essentially private contracts and therefore not only unregulated but also weirdly opaque. There’s no objective valuation possible for the damned things, really–they’re kind of like the Schrodinger’s Cat of the financial world in that it’s only by the act of closely observing the damned things that causes the wave fronts of probability to collapse and you find out whether you have dogshit or Krugerrands in the bag.

One really has to ask oneself why in hell did people whose whole raison d’etre is to make secure loans that will be paid back went so far overboard on those weird loan products. I read this article by Ben Stein, not someone I would normally waste my time on but he made a couple of really good points:

Notice the bolded section–were I not too tired to get up I’d be putting on my tinfoil hat right now. It does seem to be curiously…coincidental…does it not?

This is one of the major reasons why I favor a bottom up approach to stabilizing the market. Mortgages stable, real estate stable, reasonable valuation possible on CDSs that are mortgage derived. The rest of it is all phantom profit, made possible only by an egregious distortion of the market and I don’t think anyone’s entitled to just pull money out of thin air like that and be able to hold people to it. This is the larger version of eBay or other auction fraud, where a shill bids up an item then drops out when it peaks, leaving some poor sucker holding the worthless item that was made to look valuable. That’s not real profit, either, and it’s neither legal nor ethical. You get caught doing shit like that in some auctions you’ll end up arrested or just beat to peanut butter for your shenanigans.

Then when I do get my tinfoil hat on it occurs to me that Bush has always been in the Saudis pockets, and that those pockets are plenty deep enough to have arranged this little contretemps. Just throwin’ it out there.

Ack, sorry, I shouldn’t post so late at night.

I agree to an extent but there are a few issues with this.

First, as I think SmartAleq is pointing out, is the risk is actually hidden. It is one thing for me to knowingly understand the risk and invest with that knowledge. But the real risk of the underlying mortgages got washed out of the system. Good loans are bundled with bad loans and all the purchaser sees is a package of loans worth X-dollars. What percentage of those loans are high risk and likely to default and which are held by Warren Buffet and Bill Gates?

Second, which goes to having assets to backup your obligations, is these companies just got too large. Their obligations were staggering in scope. It is one thing if you lend me $1000 of unsecured money and I default. It is something else when these companies have several hundreds of billions of dollars that is not backed up by other assets. The knock-on effects of their failure now affects other people. People who did not accept that risk are now being held to make good on that bad paper. Maybe i do other business with AIG and had no part in this aspect of the business as I did not want to accept the risk. Why should I be screwed along with the people who chose to play there?

As such I think reasonable regulations would be for better transparency in these instruments (or maybe only allow essentially identical loans to be bundled…if you want to buy the bag of bad loans for a better return with greater risk then fine…your choice but you know what you are getting in to).

Additionally, I see no problem with a regulation that does not allow a given institution to have more unsecured debt than they can reasonably be expected to pay back if the worse happens. Over some limit, if the company is SO huge and the debt SO substantial that their failure wrecks the economy or is in danger of starting a domino effect of failures I think the government has a legitimate position in saying they need to be more responsible so tax payers are not left holding the bag.

I keep hearing about these cases and my mind boggles.

Why would anyone want to buy these “bundled” loans, when they didn’t know what percentage was bad loans and what percentage was good loans?

Who the hell authorized the purchase of these “unknown risk” bundled loans?

In any case, if there is a company that is stupid enough to buy an asset with an unknown amount of risk, in a free market they should be allowed to buy that asset. It’s their money. If they want to waste it, it’s their decision.

As long as they inform their shareholders that they are making such risky moves as buying assets with unknown risk (“hey, we have no frikkin’ clue how safe these bundled loans are, but they look like a good bet”), the free market should allow them to make those risky moves.

By forcing transparency in these assets by law, we are forcing market participants to be prudent. In a free market, if we believe that it works and does it job, the imprudent participants will be weeded out. We shouldn’t need the law to force participants to be prudent.

If we need to make a law that prevents people and companies from buying assets so ridiculous that the buyer has no idea what the composition and risk profile of the asset is, then we have no faith in the market participants, and we have no faith in the fact that the free market will weed out such stupid behavior before it all blows up and bring the whole economy down.

My apologies

The bundles loans were bought because they appeared to increase the net worth of the company. They got huge bonuses ,salaries and parting gifts for doing it. There was no pressure not to. The average company was leveraged at about 30 to 1. That is inexcusable.