COULD it really be that staying in the race keeps the spotlight on the Democrats and away from McCain? Could this actually be her plan?
She’s a dementor?
No.
To be fair, going by proportion of the population, there “ought” to be around 64 black congressmen but 267 women.
Nah. The Terminator.
I really don’t get what she’s at here.
Hell, even if Florida and Michigan were seated fully she’d lose.
Like my cite I am flummoxed. This sort of rhetoric, which undermines attempts to mend fences in Florida in preparation for the general, is unlikely to win over many supers, and certainly not the overwhelming majority that she’d need. What can she possibly be hoping to accomplish?
Honestly, I am hoping she is simply talking until June 3rd. It’s a week and a half away, I’m hoping she bows out then.
I don’t understand the process that well, but I think the magic number (2024/2025?) is based on the available delegates discluding Michigan and Florida. If they are included, they up the number of delegates Obama requires to officially win the nomination, and make it more likely it reaches a brokered convention.
Senor the math done in my cite takes that into account. Even with Michigan and Florida fully seated and the needed delegate count up, Obama would be able to cinch it on June 3 with about 5 supers per day and Clinton would 80% of them to go her way to win.
Here’s DemConWatch’s arithmetic. If MI and FL are fully seated, as voted for, but with MI’s 55 uncommitteds going to Obama, then Obama would be ahead, 2098-1972, with 2209 needed for the win.
If we assume Obama picks up a combined 35 delegates from PR, MT, and SD (sure, that seems like low-balling, but then I thought 46 delegates from OR and KY was lowballing too, and he only seems to have won 44), then he still would need 76 more supers or Edwards defectors. At 5 a day, that would take him until June 6.
Obama’s got to play the endgame carefully, if he wants to win in November, and so far it looks like he’s doing so. But for the next election cycle, I don’t think the DNC could or should let Michigan and Florida off scot-free for breaking the rules, even if Obama could still clinch the nomination by completely yielding to Hillary on how to go about seating their delegations.
A good update is here.
That is an interesting article, it says Clinton won’t just leave the race, but will be veiled in a cloak of invisibility after she steps down. Maybe a quick shout out to Barack, but as soon as she’s done, she’s done. No need to have her in the news any more. I tend to agree. She will campaign for Obama a little, sending heartfelt pleas to her constituency but then she’ll fade away…
Don’t you guys get it? It’s not about the voters, and it never was. She doesn’t want Obama to get ANY delegates out of Michigan. If she gets her votes and the rest are uncomitted, then that will mean it will be a lot closer up to the convention.
It has become clear now that she is prepared to do that which we had all feared from the beginning. She will literally do whatever is in her power to win the nomination. The worst part is that now it’s not even a question of money. She can go on without money now since it’s almost over. Andrew Sullivan said this:
The fact that the remaining superdelegates out there haven’t settled this already is oh so fucking typical of democrats. This lilly-livered part doesn’t deserve Obama, let me tell you. Democrats have been pathetic in my lifetime, and the worst offender was the Iraq war resolution. That was downright pathetic. And how many of them who voted for the war are still around? I wouldn’t be surprised if they were the uncomitted superdelegates.
Wait for the fullness of time, my friend. Remember that Obama has already seen the beginning and the end. It is our frail human nature, trapped in this temporal prison, that fools us into believing that he is not yet annointed.
Did someone close off the spigot of super delegates or something? Just 2 yesterday, and none so far today? And didn’t Pelosi say she’d endorse whoever ended up with the majority of delegates?
Better yet: The Black Knight.
Shouldn’t that be the Hard Working White Knight?
Yeah, and it’ll happen right after Bill’s exiled to Tristan da Cunha for the next eight and a half years.
And another word from Al Giordano, make of it what you will (I’m not sure either):
I don’t know how good Al’s sources are, but Obama’s a very perceptive guy. He knows that if he brings Hillary on board, Bill inevitably comes as part of the package.
It would certainly muddy up the appearance of his being in charge. The circus around them could jerk the spotlight away from him at any random moment. He knows this. He’d be nuts to take her on.
Just not gonna happen.
Amen, amen, amen. Hope you’re right!
Now even the Democratic governor of New York says Hillary’s in trouble: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/