ralph124c, if the various attempts at renewal of men’s fashions in the last 50 years are any sign, it’s better to leave things alone.
As to the retro-ing of home architecture, that probably has more to do with disastrous attempts at “modernism” in the mid-20th century. Y’know, imitating Frank Lloyd Wright or Antoni Gaudí w/o really “getting” them, as if it were just a fashion statement. This resulted in some fugly structures that were not really practical at all; add to that a natural nostalgia for what you were “used to” and you get a self-reinforcing cycle. The irony being, of course, that the “conservative” houses are not being built like the old stuff, just to look like it.
As to Ponder Stibbons comment – well, we could get into a nice circular argument on this. Maybe we have not arrived at all these nifty “world of tomorrow” things because we have not yet achieved the kind of social and economic improvement of society in general that would truly unleash man to produce them, or it could be that concentrating on short-term consumer goods prevents us from addressing Real Progress.
[Musing mode On]
But then again, as mentioned earlier, in the material side of the equation we are still far ahead. In fields like medicine, communications, IT, these ARE (in Simon’s words) the days of miracles and wonders. It’s just that the sort of pop-cultural “futurists” that ralph talks about somehow never quite got around to exactly HOW would the “society of tomorrow” achieve the implied level of political stability, economic growth, and social enlightenment for a society where every joe schmo owns a flying car and a robot maid. It was apparently just supposed to happen, as if it were predestined. Also, there was much of a tendency among them to oversimplify and give little thought to what XYZ prediction really implied in terms of basic technical/social developments to make it possible at all.
They also failed to consider that cost-effectiveness would remain a criterion for having things get done
Many of the pop-futurists had bought into what is, actually, a set of early Industrial-Era ideas about “progress”: an identifiable and quantifiable “positive direction”; an underlying impetus to move in that direction; fast motion along that axis for its own sake is a value in and of itself; and that the natural result (or goal) of the Renaissance/Scientific Revolution/Industrial Revolution/Democracy/whatever should be runaway exponential “progress” forever in every single field.
However, it looks more like “progress” actually works by punctuated-equilibrium: breakthroughs separated by periods of at best gradual incremental change, with no predestination to having “the best” come out ahead every time if “whatever works” will do.
So our supercomputers are not AI’s with actual personalities a-la HAL9000; but real AI scientists would have told the futurists it was not a matter of just cramming in more power until somehow AI “awakened”. And so what, it’s no big deal if we can’t build an artificial Really Smart Person when we already have a bunch of those being born the old-fashioned way every year, and can cost-effectively just give them better tools. So it took only 50-some years to go from the Wright Flyer to the DH Comet and 707 with 1st-class service, but another 50 years later our airliners are not hypersonic suborbital 1000-seaters and the food is lousy… well, real aerospace engineers would have told them that depended on a particular material or powerplant being invented some day. And our airlines could not afford to own and run a spaceplane if they wanted to.
OTOH, the Web, WiFi hotspots, mobile phones so affordable you can give them to 12-year-olds, personal GPS units, SSRI antidepressants, ACEI antihypertensives, DVDs, etc., were not around 20 years back. So there is fast progress going on – if we know where to look.