It’s not so much that I’d want to have a car that can drive itself as it would be that everyone around me would want me to have one. I’m not a very good driver.
As part of my job I am very peripherally involved with this sort of project. (I don’t work for Google, so don’t ask. I work for a company that sometimes works with car manufacturers on advanced projects such as this one.)
Many in the industry think this sort of thing is definitely coming in the future. There is a convergence of computing technology, sensor accuracy, and mapping attribution and detailing that is making this possible.
It seems that the current GPS technology would be making this very feasible. There are just so many benefits, from accident and traffic jam prevention, removing irresponsible/aggressive driving, fuel savings, time savings, less cops/courts/lawyers needed, etc. I hope the car makers are seeing the writing on the wall.
Can these things tell the difference between a human lying in the street, and a pile of clothes? A cardboard box vs a giant hunk of metal? Can they tell black ice from water? Can they drive on poorly marked roads, gravel roads, snow-covered roads? I have a hard time believing a computer has the pattern-recognition capabilities, and the intelligence to deal with al the different sorts of events and conditions that come up when driving. If you have to have a human watch over it in case something unusual comes up, then it’s useless. In fact, it’s worse than useless because people will become complacent and not pay attention.
This was raised in one of the articles I read about this. Basically…they don’t know yet. We’re hitting the point where technology is running faster than the law can keep up. Right now these cars are street legal because there’s someone behind the wheel to take it if things go awry, but since the goal is to eliminate the driver…
Just what we need, a bunch of cars that drive like Californians, We might as well save some money and stop repairing everything but the left lane, because that is all that will be used.
Car makers are not only seeing the writing on the wall, they are interested in developing this technology. Anything to keep their industry relevant in the future.
Well airplanes have had autopilots for years. IIRC there are even automatic takeoff and landing systems available. They still have pilots even though I would be willing to bet they could be flown remotely just like predator drones.
This is all piddling stuff. Sure there will be marginal conditions where the computers won’t be able to make the call as to what it is seeing or where to go or what to do. Simple: design it so it fails safe ie it stops. Then you as the human decide what to do next. Even if this means you have to drive the car yourself some miniscule part of the time, so what?