Quoth december:
…But the indication is that the vouchers will be inadequate to fully fund a student’s attendance at a private school.
…And the District of Columbia is hovering at around a seventeen percent poverty rate. That of course does not take into account the statistically higher national poverty rate for minorities, which while improving is still at around 22 percent for African Americans nationally (same cite).
…And the median household income for the District is around $38K/year, a figure which might make paying extra for private school problematic for many families.
In fact, according to the cached Google document (which I usually have trouble linking properly–if a mod can help I’d appreciate it) at the bottom of this post, 62% of all families with children in DC were single-parent families, with even lower household incomes. In 1997, almost 37% of all children in the District were considered to be “in poverty.” In 1996, two out of three students in the District were receiving free or reduced cost lunch subsidies, which indicates that they come from household incomes which do not exceed 185% of the official poverty rate income.
I have not been able to determine what is the poverty rate for white children within DC, but nationally, white children rank the lowest of any race/ethnicity, at about ten percent. I also found it disturbingly difficult to find a breakdown of private school attendance in the District by race.*
I think that from these figures I can conclude that december is technically correct in saying that most of the beneficiaries of the plan would be minority students.
However, I think I can also say that most of the minority students will NOT be benficiaries of the plan, because their families cannot easily afford to pay the extra money that the inadequate vouchers require.
Because I cannot find those last critical figures which I strongly suspect would show that white children in the District come from families which have significantly higher household incomes, I cannot state this next damning sentence as fact , but you can take it as a newly formed (and hopefully informed) opinion:
Vouchers will make it possible for a greater proportion of white children to flee the District of Columbia’s public school system. While 96% of the students in DC public schools are minorites, there’s no way in the world that 96% of the voucher beneficiaries will be minority students.
And that, I think but cannot yet prove, is the exact intention of vouchers in general.
*However, I did find this document, which has this amusing quote: “Finally, I find that whites attend private schools that are less integrated than public schools, and blacks and Hispanics attend private schools that are slightly more integrated than public schools.”
Yeah, I’d bet my sweet ass that the private schools in DC are “slightly more integrated” than the 96% minority DC public schools, so long as “more integrated” means “a higher percentage of white children.”
http://www.google.com/search?q=cache:9WR5ziDxFc0C:www.venturephilanthropypartners.org/usr_doc/vuln_youth.htm+district+columbia+single+mothers&hl=en&ie=UTF-8