I just ran some EC numbers.
If Harris loses Pennsylvania (and Nevada), but wins MI and WI, she’ll need two of the three next-tier states (AZ, NC, and GA) to win.
(I assumed she’d win one of the two purple NE/ME districts).
Of these three states, she’s currently forecast to just win Arizona — barely (she could easily lose it). If she just wins AZ, Trump wins, 276-262.
Same if she just wins Georgia, or just wins North Carolina (Trump wins 271-267 in each case).
The upshot is…Harris could very easily lose Pennsylvania, based on current forecasts (it’s by far her weakest of the the three “blue wall” states). And, Nevada looks quite iffy.
She — all of us — MUST prepare for this by focusing campaigning and get-out-the-vote efforts in at least two of the three states of AZ, NC, and GA. If time and money are limited, we need to pick the two states very soon (without entirely neglecting the third).