Kamala Harris and the runup to the 2024 Presidential Election {No more on Guns}

[JKellyMap]

How can Donald Trump win at this point?

I just ran some EC numbers. If Harris loses Pennsylvania (and Nevada), but wins MI and WI, she’ll need two of the three next-tier states (AZ, NC, and GA) to win. (I assumed she’d win one of the two purple NE/ME districts). Of these three states, she’s currently forecast to just win Arizona — barely (she could easily lose it). If she just wins AZ, Trump wins, 276-262. Same if she just wins Georgia, or just wins North Carolina (Trump wins 271-267 in each case). The upshot is…Harris could very…