Yup. And as I have said, those that have supported evil, can’t admit they where wrong. So, they either like evil, or are too embarrassed by there choices to vote for good.
Choosing correctly is what you/we should do.
I promise not to point fingers at previous choices people have made.
All my reels are alligators, snakes and sharks. Usually coming straight at the camera.
Are you, perhaps reading the New York Times, which is going on and on about Harris not giving interviews- because she wont give them an exclusive?
I mean, to be honest trump doesnt give any interviews either. Mind you- an interview consisted of questions and answers TO THOSE QUESTIONS. Which trump doesnt give- Reporter: What will do you to keep jobs in America?
Trump: I was named Michigan Man of the Year
And here is the thing- lets say she does give the NYT that interview- that will reach 600K readers, almost all of them dedicated Democrats, in a state that is so deep blue it is indigo. So- why? Other than to appease the Publisher that is. On Oprah she reached about 90 MILLION viewers, from all states.
So Harris gives enough real interviews, many times more than trump, and so this issue is a nothing burger. It is simply some media channels wanting more viewers/readers.
I agree with everything except the idea that the NY Times readership is mainly New Yorkers. Subscribers live in all states, and 16% live outside the US.
You’re right on about the left leanings of its subscribers, though – I was surprised to see that 91% of US subscribers consider themselves Democrats. That’s nuts!
Okay, you got me on the first, but still- their readership is very blue. I dont see the point of Harris giving that interview at all. Maybe that CNN one.
Only if Harris messes up royally, which she hasn’t so far, can Trump still win. Or if he messes with the voting mechanism, which is possible. He has yet to win the popular vote. Will that change? I don’t think so, even when he won the Electoral College in 2016. Can he win? Anything is possible, but it feels to me like his time has passed. His first win was kind of a fluke anyway.
Also, where do Haitians come from? Nobody knows. Redirecting...
I read that as “I was named Michelin Man of the year.”
And then I thought: “did Trump win an award for his fine dining, or for his fine tires?”
[Sorry, mods. I’ll see myself out. But I hope somebody smiled.]
Not at all. I don’t care about the NYT.
Of course not, but Trump isn’t the bar we should be aiming for.
This is the argument. What interviews has she done? I count three.
Of course Trump is the bar we should be aiming for, because Trump is who is running against her. If one side robs banks, you really shouldn’t concentrate your efforts on the side that picks the occasional pocket.
So you’re accusing Harris of being a pickpocket? That’s not very nice.
And that isn’t very clever.
Who care how many? The NYT only. I mean, this is a weird thing “she is a bad candidate because she hasnt given what we consider the right number of interviews. Never mind her opponent has given zero, this makes her bad” and I dont know what they is a bad thing and personally I dont give a damn.
She is out there, doing stuff, rallies, etc.
One of these threads quoted Gallup as predicting a Trumpw in. Well, Gallup has not been very accurate for some time at predicting.
Gallup, Inc. - Wikipedia.
By the media sane washing every bit of insane senile gobbledygook he spews.
That was me, in this thread, on September 25.
538 gives Gallup 2 1/2 stars out of a possible 3, and ranked it as 44th out of 282 ranked pollsters. The messenger here is reasonably sound.
Unless I missed it, Gallup did not exactly predict a Trump win. They did provide evidence that on the issues most salient to presidential preference – notably the economy and immigration – voters favor the GOP positions. Based on their evidence, I think that if both parties had a strong candidate, the GOP candidate would win. Fortunately, the Democrats have a strong nominee and the Republicans a weak one. So Trump can win, but it isn’t ordained.
How many interviews do presidential candidates generally give? I seriously have no idea (and personally wouldn’t watch 1 or 100.)
And, as pointed out:
Look, I’m all in on Harris. I can’t say I know how many most candidates do or what the right number is. But even her own team is aware she doesn’t do a lot of “unscripted events”, so much do that Walz is limiting his appearances so he doesn’t make her lack stand out so much.
They are limiting Walz’s “unscripted events” because Harris does so few. THAT strikes me as a flaw.
I want Harris to win. When I point out she hasn’t done interviews, it’s from the perspective I want her to win. I don’t give a shit about the New York Times, she can tell them to go fuck themselves. I just want her to get her message out, to counter the nonsense and disinformation coming out of the Trump and Vance daily nonsense parade.
But I’ll gladly acknowledge I’m no expert on how to get Harris elected. Maybe campaign rallies and speeches are better for her. I worry that those only reach the people already voting for her. But maybe they help motivate turnout.
But since this thread is about how Trump can win, not Harris, I’ll shut up about it.
Any thoughts on how favorability ratings impact the chances of a win? I don’t see them talked about, but note the glaring difference between the Harris and Trump numbers:
Donald Trump has a +9.6 point unfavorable rating.
JD Vance has a +11 point unfavorable rating
Tim Walz has a +3.7 favorable rating
Kamala Harris has a +1.1 favorable rating
And note that Harris’ rating has been steadily improving.
I think it matters, and I’d look a bit deeper, into the very favorable or unfavorable numbers. Looking at the last YouGov one, they are both underwater on that. Among likely voters Harris is -13, compared to Trump -19. Among self-identified Independents it’s Harris -13 again and Trump -24.
My suspicion is that the “very” group drives voting behavior much more than “somewhat” does.
It is a surprise to me that Trump does not have larger numbers in each of the “very” groups. I had expected opinion of him to be love or hate and Harris to be more “somewhat” approval, but Harris is two points ahead in the “very much approve” among likely voters, along with her four points less in the “very” unapprove rating. And among self-identified Independents that very much unapprove difference is starker, her better by 11.
Team Trump’s effort to get her hated by those outside his base has failed so far. None of the shit he’s thrown has stuck yet. Tactically he likely is correct that he needs to more disapproving of her intensely enough to vote against her to win, but fortunately his execution on negative campaigning has been ineffective to date.
Which is why he’s depending on his sycophants perpetuating the Big Lie about voter fraud and working hard to negate votes from the ‘wrong’ people.