how do I determine which heater is more efficient?

Yes, there’s a balance point, if your numbers are correct.

They’re not.

Yeah, this site recommends an electric furnace sized to 25Btus/sqft for moderate climates. For a 3kW heater, that works out to 408 square feet.

And the OP seems to have at least two closed rooms (which presumably means there are two open rooms). It sounds like it’s undersized, to me.

Can I ask where you live, CC? Or at least the expected average low in December/January?