How good of a shot was Lee Harvey Oswald?

No, I posted before checking and so hedged my bets. On checking, clearly he had Soviet connections.

'Course, it does give us JFK as an example of how you can take a pile of BS and tinfoil hats, and make a good movie.* JFK* is great filmmaking, very bad history, kinda like Birth of a Nation.

I have yet to visit, so out of curiosity, on the point of reference… how large is the X in comparison to a human head?

The Swedes, now I understand. The damn Swedes. Now I know why the bullet was metric, never understood why it wasn’t a 308 Winchester the caliber any good Merican assassin would use.

The damn Swedes

Capt

Which he reneged, and became all pro-Cuba later, which goes to show something, although exactly what, I’m not sure. But here was a guy who was openly Marxist, to the point of moving to the Soviet Union, and trying to defect, then when the USSR doesn’t embrace him as a symbol of how corrupt the west is, and just relegates him to being a factory worker in the Ukraine, he gets disenchanted, and decided to un-defect, come back to the US, and be all about Cuba. He is shocked when no reporters greet him at the airport.

If the CIA was looking for a guy to recruit for its assassination team, Oswald wasn’t it.

Actually, if they wanted someone who was an American who could get along with Soviets, keep a low profile, speak flawless Russian, had military experience, was so-so on Kennedy, but a Democrat, so not immediately suspicious as being radically anti-Kennedy, my father was perfect. Seriously. And no one ever tried to recruit him for any assassination team. The only strike against him was that he was Jewish, and there were people who automatically questioned the patriotism of anyone who was Jewish, but my father put himself through college in the Airforce ROTC. He then became a military Russian interpreter, and after working intercepting Soviet radio signals and translating them for two years in active service, he went to grad school in Leningrad. He was actually quite patriotic, but very quite about his politics, so no one really know how he felt, one way or another, about Communism, and he spoke Russian so well by the end of his time in Leningrad, that he got thrown out of a hard currency store, where Soviet citizens weren’t permitted, only foreigners with foreign currency.

My father was a hard-working, keep-his-nose-clean, get-good-grades, non-procrastinator, who still wasn’t a show-off, and didn’t like being the center of attention, which Oswald seems to have loved. My father also was a good shot in his Airforce qualifications. With people like my father available, there’s no way the CIA would have recruited a high school drop-out whose most salient characteristic seems to have been being a drama queen.

Pretty close actually. It’s a small X in the middle lane of traffic. If you’re driving you may not even notice it if you’re paying attention to traffic. Officially the X isn’t sanctioned by the city and workers occasionally go out and remove it but within a day it will reappear in exactly the same spot and the city will let it stay there undisturbed for a few months until they go through the motions of removing it again.

It’s a great line in the movie, but it’s not describing something in any way remarkable; the DI himself says something to the effect of “when you leave my island you will all be able to do the same thing.” Pretty much everything has been touched on from the short range, remarkably easy shot, the slow movement and almost zero deflection on the motion of the target, but to add: there is absolutely nothing remarkable about being able to fire three rounds from a bolt action rifle in six seconds; even more so when you consider that he already had a round chambered and the stopwatch starts when he first pulls the trigger. All he had to do was operate the bolt, aim and fire two more times in six seconds. Prior to WWI the British Army trained to fire at least 20 aimed shots a minute with the Lee-Enfield, which required reloading the 10 round magazine with 5 round charger clips. [

](Lee–Enfield - Wikipedia)The other thing is that if properly maintained bolt action rifles will remain as serviceable as the day they were manufactured for decades. One of the more popular bolt action rifles in civilian use in the US nowadays is the Mosin–Nagant due to the cheapness with which they can be bought; with the end of the Cold War the market was flooded with millions of them that had been held in stock by the former Soviet Army. The Carcano was apparently fairly widely used during the Libyan Civil War as well:

Like Frazzled said, it is pretty close, probably a bit bigger, because they want people to be able to see it from the 6th floor without a scope. Here is a shot of it in Google Maps.

I owned a Carcano rifle like Oswald’s for a while. It was about as good as any military bolter of the time. They all have their good points and bad points. It was certainly more than adequate for the shooting that Oswald did that day.

It’s even less remarkable nowadays, because the six-second guess was made assuming it was the second shot that missed. With more analysis in recent years, there’s a pretty convincing case that it was the first shot that missed, giving Oswald between eight and nine seconds to shoot three shots (4 to 4.5 second spacing).

Sorry, no cite, but I swear I heard (either in an article, or on a documentary) that if someone had fired from the grassy knoll at that point, they would have hit Jackie, and not JFK.

(Obviously this was determined studying all the angles and forensic and physics and whatnot)

Perfect case of drawing the target around the dart. I’m sure this has a name in the list of logical fallacies, but it’s not coming to me right now. In any event, it’s only slightly remarkable if we know that Oswald was aiming for the head. We don’t know that, and from knowing what his military training would have been like, plus where the other shot hit (in Kennedy’s throat), we can guess Oswald was aiming for a compromise between his training for center mass, and the fact that Kennedy was sitting in a car that made center mass difficult. The head shot was most likely a lucky shot. Asking someone to repeat it is like firing at the side of a barn, and then challenging someone to hit the very same spot you just hit.

Oswald’s goal was to kill JFK, was it not? His goal was to remove JFK from power.

A soldier’s goal is 1. To maximize the chance of hitting the target. 2. To remove the opposing soldier as an immediate threat.

A casualty with a GSW in the chest is supposedly better than a KIA. That’s because while it is true that some casualties can shoot back, most of the time, at least 1 or more soldiers will be caring for the casualty until he can be evacuated from the battlefield. That takes prevents 2+ soldiers from shooting back. If you cause a KIA, his buddies will be able to fight back with their full attention.

If Oswald shot JFK in the chest, most possible chest shots would have caused a survivable wound. The president might have been out of it for a month, and might have had his vice president temporarily take power, but he would probably have been able to return to work.

Appropriately enough, it’s known as the Texas sharpshooter fallacy.

I am fond of saying that the world is broken up into two groups; those who have fired a rifle and those who have not, and everyone who thinks LHO did something amazing is in the group that has not.

One of the more revealing experiences of my life was when I joined the Army and learned to use a rifle, and learned how easy it is to hit things. We started off on the FN-CA1, a big 7.62, and hitting targets at 100 and 200 metres seemed, to me, preposterously easy. We transitioned to the C7, which was the non-scoped version at the time, and it seemed easier still. I would have considered it a serious miss to not hit a target the size of a human head. The minimum standard in the Forces was a 6-inch grouping to get points in the annual qualification, and I always made it with ease, and while I was better than average, almost everyone qualified on the first go.

Rifles are built and designed to make it easy to hit things far away with accuracy.

I am fond of saying that the world is broken up into two groups; those who have fired a rifle and those who have not, and everyone who thinks LHO did something amazing is in the group that has not.

One of the more revealing experiences of my life was when I joined the Army and learned to use a rifle, and learned how easy it is to hit things. We started off on the FN-CA1, a big 7.62, and hitting targets at 100 and 200 metres seemed, to me, preposterously easy. We transitioned to the C7, which was the non-scoped version at the time, and it seemed easier still. I would have considered it a serious miss to not hit a target the size of a human head. The minimum standard in the Forces was a 6-inch grouping to get points in the annual qualification, and I always made it with ease, and while I was better than average, almost everyone qualified on the first go.

Rifles are built and designed to make it easy to hit things far away with accuracy.

I presume you were fond of double taps : )
Yes, at such a distance, the main impediment to accuracy would be how one handles stress across people and situations.

Overly fond, apparently.

:smiley:

I think we can assume that LHO was going for a headshot. President Kennedy was sitting in a car that left just his head and a bit of his shoulders exposed, remember that his back was largely immobilized from his war injuries. There just wasn’t much else to shoot at.

Just went a looked a the pics on wiki, you might be able to squeeze a bullet above the seat top and into the heart but in the scope the largest chunk of JFK that would be visible would be his head.

Capt

Military training might tell you one thing, but that doesn’t mean Lee Harvey Oswald followed it. I mean, I assume it was at least implicit in his training that shooting the president was undesirable.

Besides the practical reasons mentioned, might he have been going for something spectacular? A shot to the head from a rifle certainly would be, in a horrible way. At least one other post in this thread suggests Oswald liked attention (although he obviously didn’t want attention on him personally in this case).