If you want a ‘radical’ view, what if people had, in general, decided that animals were better as food and draft animals than riding animals, instead of finding a replacement for the nonexistant horse? Would infantry mobility have been a big factor? Larger groups of light infantry (such as the Roman velites, if my memory serves me correctly)? Or just, like one poster said, a heavier focus on power over mobility?
According to the military history course I took [sub]about thirty-five years ago[/sub] (part of Army ROTC), Hannibal’s elephants were ineffective against Roman legions. The legionnaires stood (or knelt) with their spears at ready. The elephants, upon reaching a wall of painful spearpoints, turned and ran, trampling the Carthaginian infantry behind them.
I suspect the big problem with the use of war elephants is their intelligence. They are smart enough to get themselves out of danger, no matter what the rider wants them to do.
I suspect that this is just not answerable. To many variables and such.
However, I believe in the aforementioned Guns, Germs, and Steel Jared Diamond mentions that horses are unusually suited to domestication (along with dogs). In other words, there are actually relatively few species that can truly be domesticated as opposed to just tamed. For example, the problem of domesticating Zebras, apparently this is difficult or impossible.
Now I am really only repeating what I read in Guns, Germs, and Steel{/u], but this actually seems plausible to me. If this is true then it seems that the other animal substitutes might never become as docile and useful as the horse.
The Orcs were able to function just fine as a raider tribe using large wolves instead of horses.
And while we’re on the subject of alternate domestication histories… what if some tribe back in the olden days had domesticated the mammoth before it went extinct? (And, of course, somehow managed to prevent their mammoths from dying off?) Could make for an interesting war beastie…
The Black Death was most likely originally the result of zoonotic infectoin from horses. It was almost certainly spread to a wide extent by Mongol horsemen, during the historic plagues. No horses, no pandemic, and probably no Black Death at all.
That doesn’t mean no plagues. Just different ones.
Tris
“In my opinion, there’s nothing in this world,
Beats a '52 Vincent, and a red headed girl.” ~ Richard Thompson ~
Diamond’s Law:
In any thread about civilization or human history, the probability of someone mentioning Guns, Germs and Steel approaches 1 as the thread increases in length.
Great book, by the way.
As long as we’re all citing Diamond, he wrote that the main disincentive to domesticating elephants is their growth rate; it apparently takes 15 years to raise an elephant from birth to adulthood. For this reason, most human owned elephants are not domesticated; they’re wild elephants that have been captured and tamed (thereby saving the owner from the “start-up investment”). It’s difficult to suppose that horses’ pervasive role in human society could be replaced by animals that depend on a wild population for replenishment, although I suppose it’s arguable that if horses or other animals didn’t exist to fill this role, the cost of raising elephants as domestic animals might be acceptable.
A farmer with a horse was much more productive than farmer without one. Perhaps it was this difference that released the resources that allowed european countires to aquire expansive emipres just after the medieval period, later to have factories and industrial revolutions.
I am not sure how europe compares with other countries. I guess that where rice and maize are grown, most of the work is done by people. Of course, there are large areas of China where wheat is grown - did they use draft animals for farming?
If it was not for horses, the americas may not have been worth colonising. A farmer without a horse is little better off than a subsistance farmer - he will always be poor and might as well have stayed at home. A farmer with a horse, and a bit of luck, can look forward to a bumper harvest and good profit.
The Mongol hordes never would have exploded out from the Mongolian grasslands to take over much of the world. The ripple on effects of those they displaced who then went on to displace others had a massive historical effect.
G. Cornelius, in China they have traditionally used water buffalo as the beast of burden. AFAIK, horses were never used as farm animals.
True, but is a farmer with a horse more productive than a farmer with a team of oxen?
Any reason that oxen couldn’t be substituted for horses/mules for agricultural purposes? They can plow. They can pull carts.
(Thinking out loud:)
The main drawback I can think of is that oxen aren’t as smart as mules (in my experience), which might make them more difficult to work with. For example, a mule can be trained to make turns at the appropriate moments while plowing. It can learn the “gee” and “haw” commands. Can oxen master those commands?
Evidently my information is outdated. I am unable to find a cite, and have, in fact found several mentions of the unsuitability of horses as vectors. At one time, it was a fairly common belief that the Mongol invasions were principal causes of the rapid spread of plague, but that seems not to be the case, even considering the non horse vectors affected by the Mongols.
Tris
Fighting your own ignorance is no where near as much fun as fighting someone else’s.
That’s why camels seem attractive (as a replacement beast of burden, not as an object of aesthetic appreciation). They have, in fact, been truly domesticated (wild bactrian camels are now quite rare, and listed as endangered - wild dromedaries are nonexistant - Australia has a large feral camel population). In the absence of horses, domestic stocks of camels might have found wider use.