Hurricane Irma [and Maria]

Supplementary 1pm update from NHC shows 92mph wind gust measured at Miami Intl Airport. Wouldn’t want people to get the idea and Miami isn’t getting in on the Irma experience.

On the Carnival Paradise. Cruise to Havana had been planned for months.
Havana stay was cut short by a day we are now in Cozumel waiting until the Port of Tampa reopens. Hopefully Wednesday.
Then we can see what might have happened to our home in Bradenton (just north of Sarasota and smack dab in the middle of all current plots).

Uh… *enjoy *your cruise!?

Maybe not exactly enjoy, but at least you are out of the line of fire.

I am watching CNN, and the woman (Rosa Somebody) in the street keeps talking about “ponding” and how the street is all “ponded”. WTH? I never heard “pond” used as verb. And she is waaaay over-using it like it is her new favorite toy. She’s probably said it 7-10 times in her last 2 segments. When did this become a thing for what you call water in the road? Am I just ignorant of the latest fashionable storm words?

These reporters kill me how they have to stand in the storm.

Anyway, hope everyone is hanging in!

I am in south Georgia. We are now under a hurricane warning. When Irma crosses into GA around midnight it’s expected to be a Cat One still. Tonight and tomorrow will be when we get the worst but nowhere near what the people in Florida have experienced/are experiencing.

I’m in Ponte Vedra, in madatory evacuation zone east of the ICW on the border between St. Johns Duval counties. They will close all bridges as soon as sustained winds are 40+ MPH (looks pretty during close). St. Johns says when it closes the bridges, they won’t let anyone on the island, but anyone who still wants to leave can do so. Duval says once they close the bridges, nobodys getting on or off.

I was going to ride it out, but the news reports sufficiently scared my youngest daughter, so I booked a hotel room yesterday (I think I got the last vacancy in three states). We stayed 2days/2nights at a shelter during hurricane Mathew. No way were we going do that again—one of the worst experiences of my life. I knew they were a “no pets allowed” hotel, but I asked, “c’mon, it’s a hurricane, my dog, Daisy is very tiny, and she only has a few months to live (I made that part up).” She consulted with her manager and said, “ok but, she needs to be crated, and it costs $30/animal.”

The weather was quickly deteriorating this morning and we lost our electricity so we drove to the hotel ~11am. I don’t have a dog or cat crate and the pet stores were closed yesterday. So, I carried Daisy into the lobby in a Publix bag (a fancy one, not made out of plastic). My daughter put Tibby (the cat) in her school backpack and brought him in that way. I told her not to let the check-in staff see Tibby, or else I’d be out another 30 bucks. We left the gerbil home to fend for himself. And I figured the tropical fish would be fine in the event of flooding.

So, here we sit in the lobby, in plane view of the check-in staff waiting for the 3pm check-in. Tibby keeps wriggling and popping his head out of the backpack. I don’t think the staff noticed him, yet.

Bradenton. Best of luck to you, and I hope, all things considered, you can relax and enjoy your vacation reasonably well enough.

I can’t even imagine what the damage is going to look like after the fact. So scary.

Given that the noun “pond” derives from a verb, I’d say it’s a perfectly appropriate usage.

I hear “ponding” and “pond” as a verb used by weather forecasters and just regular folks quite frequently.

Still alive and well here in northeastern Orlandoish. Apparently everyone east of us has lost power though.

Quick check-in. I’ve lost a fence, and a ton of branches. But I have power still, amazingly. There are nice waves in the lake in my back yard. Lake level is pretty high, but I’ve had worse. And it’s far from being able to reach the house.

We’ve been playing dominos all day to pass time.

Radar shows that we’re hitting the back half of the storm. Lots of bad stuff can happen, but this should be less than the first half.
Part of the concern now is that trees are a bit loose, and are going to be blown in a different direction. We should have lighter winds, but may still take some damage.

If you look at predicted track, Irma’s not going to be anywhere near GA coast. Governor ordered evacuations on GA coast two days ago.

I have a feeling there’s going to be a lot of recriminations coming. And a lot of people ignoring evacuation orders over there in the future.

Well, ya learn something new everyday, don’t ya? Thanks!

She still said it too much, though.

That’s my area, and I am already hearing it, believe me.

However, this was a particularly dodgy storm, and officials had no way of knowing it was going to do this. It could still do something unexpected. If you live on the coast, this is part of the trade off and folks have to accept these kinds of life disruptions from time to time.

True. But if the Governor had waited until it was certain where the track was going there would NOT have been the highway capacity and time to get people evacuated.

I’m expecting another round of “weather men know nothing” (already heard it start when the storm shifted west). But there are so many variables, and of course, the further out anyone tried to predict something based on current data, the less likely it is to be accurate. Plus, there’s the bias of people forgetting all the correct predictions there have historically been. Rather like no thinks to review their not-big-purchase when it does as expected, but writes a review when it’s faulty.

11 Florida relatives, mostly east coast, decided to sit it out from Daytona to Orlando to Gainesville. I plan on losing sleep until its over and the last of them check in.

That *might *have been a useful criticism if it had been accompanied by saying what he should have done differently. Whaddaya got?

Tornado warnings on the edge of a hurricane here NW of Orlando. They’ve evaded us so far, but narrowly.

Thanks to the shift in the storm path, and the shift in residents at the farmhouse, my immediate family is staying put unless we have to leave in the morning. (Yeah, there’s a curfew. We’ll ignore it if we gotta go.)

My dad’s best friend is sufficiently annoying that we’d all prefer spending the night with Irma.

(But the storm is moving farther and farther away. If we were still in the projected path, we’d have chosen differently.)

she is keeping them guessing, cnn is reporting that she is drifting a bit east. perhaps irma is thinking “what is this hogwarts thing i’ve been hearing about?” and is going to check it out.

storm surge is hitting miami. irma sure is one for the books. dodgy indeed, i’m figuring on her being sorted into slythern.