I predict that Donald Trump is going to win the election for POTUS this year.

Again, snowballing in the Republican dungeon. (someone made a reference to Trump having a lot of rolls of the die in a D&D setting) Now Trump has to face the world over the dungeon and the same polls that showed Trump winning in the Republicans are now as consistent, Hillary has been ahead for months now.

That is exactly my point, the only difference is that I look at the data available and a lot of what Trump and the Republicans are telling us is indeed political bullshit, like when Trump crowed about Hispanics voting for him.

Hispanics in Nevada voting for Republicans were actually few and the media swallowed the idea that the 45% of them voting for Trump was meaningful outside the dungeon.

So far I see you relying on anecdotes and not very good data.