Actually, at the beginning of WWII, the enemy would use whatever sized weapon either fit inside the missile they launched, or was easily smuggled into the country.
If it was a terrorist bomb, it would be highly unlikely that it was a hydrogen bomb, as those are significantly bigger and more complex than fission bombs. If it’s an SS-25 coming from Russia or equivalent, it’s got a 250kt warhead.
A warhead this size would create a zone of total destruction of about a mile, and knock down most buildings within 2 miles but there would be survivors between 1 and 2 miles away if they were protected. At about five miles, you’ve got blown out windows and other light damage, but most people would survive the initial blast. Radiation effects are a craphoot, depending on the wind direction, etc.
If it’s a terrorist bomb, it’s very likely it would be low yield - maybe 1 ton and up to 10kt, depending on design, size, and how well it goes off.
A 10 kt bomb, about half the size of Hiroshima’s bomb, would obliterate an area about 500 meters across, and do a lot of destruction for the next mile or two. Most of New York would survive such a bombing.
This picture shows an arial view of Hiroshima after the bombing. 69% of Hiroshima’s buildings were destroyed by the bomb. Hiroshima today is roughly the size of of New York City proper, but in WWII before the bomb it was about 1/3 the size in population. But I don’t know how that translates to area.
Anyway, there’s a reasonable comparison: about 70% of a city about 1/3 the size of modern New York was destroyed by a 20 kt bomb.
The New York Metro area is about 15 times larger than the city proper, however. So a 20kt bomb might destroy 5% of the metro area of new York. The majority of the population would survive. The city is very densely populated, so it would be an immense tragedy. Maybe 5 million people killed or seriously injured.