That isn’t what I said, and it isn’t a response to the issue of theory and observation. Like with Einstein’s theory, it predicted the mass of the sun would warp spacetime, so that light from stars would be bent by a strong gravity field. Observations during an eclipse proved that light is bent by a large mass, which confirmed the theory.
It’s a key issue of science, because a theory is a scientific explanation of how the Universe works. If the Universe is observed and reality does not match theory, the theory is not right.
Careful measurement of the actual Universe is called science, and observing changes to try and confirm a theory is science. It’s exactly why Cohen et al 2012 notes that the models predict the most warming in boreal winters. And why after over two decades of seeing a cooling trend for boreal winters, it can’t be considered natural variation, so the models are all wrong. They predicted changes that did not happen.
The honest scientist is more interested in knowing why, and changing the models so they can predict the observed changes, not this bullshit we see of trying to change the data, or change the past, to make reality fit the models.
According to the data, the chemistry of the atmosphere has changed, and mankind is part of the reason for the changes. There are people who deny this, but most rational people accept this as factual. Measurement of brightness temperature by satellites tell us that more heat is being retained by the oceans and surface of the planet, and theory says this is due to the enhanced greenhouse effect. PHYSICS!
But theory also assumes what the result of this will be, and that is where currently the wheels fall off. We are not seeing the expected changes in the atmosphere, or the surface temperatures, and certainly not in the ocean temperatures.
This doesn’t mean greenhouse gases are not increasing, or that the satellite data is fucked. It means that the planet isn’t changing as expected.
Nature has this annoying tendency to behave in unexpected ways, and the reaction to increased CO2 levels so far has not been as predicted. Real science is about discovering why.
Which brings us to the real conflict among researchers and thinkers. Forget about the whole “we have to stop burning shit or else” clusterfuck that seemingly dominates politics and true believers.
What the fuck is actually happening?
It certainly doesn’t help that the sun just finished the largest maximum in 5000 years, and then went quiet . Which was also completely unexpected. In 2005 NASA experts were predicting a grand maximum, the largest activity ever. Instead, quiet sun.
That the sun influences the climate (Bruckner cycles as well as other science) is common knowledge. It’s fucking SCIENCE!
The problem is, based on unproven theory, the “CO2 will kill billions crowd” cried wolf far too early, and with far too much emotion and venom, for anyone who doubted them. Now that there predictions have failed, the entire situation is far too much political hay, and far too little actual science. Or honest discussion of science.
Like the goddamn NCDC data being changed again.
Motherfuckers at NOAA/NCDC changed the past once more. Trying to erase the obvious problems by changing the past.
Fuck that shit. It makes it almost impossible to do real science when somebody is fucking with the actual data.
I’ve been on the fence mostly in regards to this, but now it’s fucking obvious. They actually changed the past data to make it seem like there has been more warming (US data only).
How fucked up is that?