For my part of this discussion, I make the following explanation:
In the absence of any criteria I made up my own follow Sua’s guidelines of avoiding political rights and concentrating on more objective information. To be exact, I used Amnesty International’s subject headings of: Armed Conflict, Crimes against Humanity, Disappearances, Extrajudicial Executions, Indiscriminate Killings, Torture/Ill-treatment (of prisoners) and Use of Excessive Force. To balance these negatives I also used the topics of: Human Rights Defenders, Human Rights Developments, Human Rights Education and Human Rights Instruments. If a country received praise in these final four it would counter (in part) abuses in the first seven, or count as more damnation if denounced.
Further checking was done along the suggested headings with Human Rights Watch, the U.N. and the State Department sites and documents. (Lest you think I am a nut, this is a simple extension of research I was already doing for an academic paper.)
By reading and giving a simple up (good) or down (bad) check, I compiled a list of three countries that could be candidates in for the 2002 ‘Evil Countries that should be dealt with’ list. Two of them were not on my personal list really bad list before, but are now. In alphabetical order: Columbia, Guatemala and Israel (including the Palestinian territories).
Columbia had far and away the most strikes against it, followed by Israel and Guatemala in a close heat for the next two slots. For the purposes of this discussion, I will use these three as the candidate nations put forward for intervention.
1) Who are the “contracting states set forth to overthrow one of the three violators?” They cannot include any country that is allied to or has really significant economic ties with a potential candidate. Case in point: Israel and the United States. I cannot see a situation where either country would voluntarily put itself into a war with the other. If Israel was chosen, and the U.S. was a contracting state…the U.S. would simply pull out of the contract.
Perhaps the contract would have to be finalized after the target was chosen, but wouldn’t that lead to a choice of target country that the most countries would want to attack instead of the one that most deserved it? (Just like Alessan suggested?)
2) Could the contract include nations that don’t like each other? For instance: Guatemala is chosen as the target regime. The U.S. decides to back the action and permits the use of its bases for staging areas. For perverse reasons, Iraq decides it wants to help. The U.S., of course, would forbid the use of Iraqi troops outside of its borders…much less on a U.S. installation and military operation. The world would probably very easily deny Iraq the chance to join, but that begs the question of who can be excluded for what reasons?
A powerful country like China may want to make itself felt on the world stage by joining in military action. Would the U.S. or Russia scuttle a plan just to keep China from increasing its influence? How about when Guatemala is being rebuilt or strengthened post overthrow? Would economic warfare replace military as China tries to break into a market that the U.S. wants to monopolize? That would end up weakening any country caught between the two.
I’ll stop at two right now, though I have several more problems with the premise.