I ran across this at CBS News today:
Losing 25 incumbents in a single election cycle seems like a lot to me.
Has there ever been a higher rate of retirement among congressmen?
I ran across this at CBS News today:
Losing 25 incumbents in a single election cycle seems like a lot to me.
Has there ever been a higher rate of retirement among congressmen?
There are also six Democrats not running for reelection, adding to your list.
Bump.
I’ve found quite a few pages with titles like “Analysis of Turnover in the U.S. House of Representatives”, but the actual data is always behind a subscription wall.
Anyone?
I remember from a newspaper article on this a while back and not findable, that 25 is nowhere near a maximum amount.
It may be true that it is unusual for recent years, since incumbants now have a much higher percentage of re-election than ever before.
The only thing I can really find is that Wikipedia says that in 2006, there were 28 congressmen not seeking re-election for either retirement or seeking another office.
This article claims that there were 50 open House seats in 1994. I can’t independently verify that without doing some serious work.
This is purely my opinion as a frequent Congress-watcher: the number of open seats leading into 2008 may be a bit higher than normal, but it’s really not anything historic.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/01/house_republicans_face_late_ex.html
So the numbers are high this year, but not yet a record.
Just as a further datapoint, Tom Davis (R-VA) announced he wasn’t running for reelection yesterday.
Is the number historically high among either party? That is, the total number may not be unusual, but the number/percentage of Republicans retiring is.