Intelligent Design: a theory in crisis

Reading some of the work of prominent Intelligent Design theorists, it struck me that their coyness about what ID involves is unwarranted. ID theorists repeatedly invoke “intelligence” with knowing smiles about how intelligence could have solved all sorts of design and physical problems, offering this as a simple, easy alternative to figuring out some complex historical sequence that natural selection might have played out.

They further argue that they have no obligation to be more specific about what this intelligence is (what its motives are, what sort of being with what sort of capabilities it has, and so forth). Most critics of intelligent design have from here theistic solution. But in thinking about the problem, I realized that there is another reason to be coy about invoking “intelligence” as a solution to the origin of complex functionality.

It is because you can’t invoke a word and not have it mean anything. Either by “intelligence” ID theorists are invoking some known concept of what it means to be and operate as an intelligent being in a design setting, or they are simply using “intelligence” as semantic sheild for total ignorance of what sort of thing/process they are talking about.

Allow me to supply them with their missing model: a very general sketch of how an idealized intelligence would approach the task of designing some creature or new function for an existing creature. All intelligences we are familiar with, it seems to me, even in our imaginations, would operate along the following general steps.

First of all, they need to collect information from a given environment or physical system: the one into which they want to place their creation or even their modification of an existing creature. They need as much information as possible, and it needs to be accurate: there may be many different interlocking chains of potential cause and effect to take into account.

Next, an intelligence needs to model. Here is where intelligence shows its power: instead of actually trying out each and every possibility in the real world, it figures it out in the abstract, simplifying key elements of a design and thinking about how they might work in practice, measured against the information it collected. This is how virtually any form of intelligent thought that we can concieve of operates: without it, it would be hard to know what was meant by “thinking” or “thoughtful design” at all.

However, as any actual intelligent designer knows, this modeling process is almost never sufficient on the first run through. The abstract can never capture the subtlties of the real, and very minor causal elements or imperfections that might have escaped notice can blow up into serious and unexpected flaws that have to be worked back into and corrected for in the revised model.

Because the intelligent designer must now somehow transfer the lessons concieved back into some real physical structure, hoping that the modeling process has been accurate, that the original information gathered captured enough of the situation to avoid unexpected flaws, and so on. Almost always, it isn’t, requiring many different prototypes and revisions. Finally, the desired functionality can be hit upon, and intelligent design has done its work.

Contrast this “intelligent” method to natural selection, and you’ll notice that it doesn’t measure up very well.

As process, natural selection does away with almost all of the troublesome steps here, most importantly those having to do with information. You might remember that intelligent design theorists make a lot of hay about information: they are deeply incredulous about how it comes to be naturally, how it manages to be preserved, how it becomes modified in ways that increase rather than decrease functionality, and so on. So you’d expect that any ID alternative would offer some sort of ingenious information creation, transfer, and management features over a dumb, accumulative process like natural selection.

Instead, quite the opposite is true. In natural selection, there isn’t anywhere near the sort of convoluted back and forth shuffling of information. The creation of information is a remarkably straightforward event.

Continually accumulating trait variety in a given gene pool provides ambiguity. Natural selection then operates simply by more definitively resolving portions of this ambiguity, non-randomly favoring those traits which happen to increase reproductive fitness within a given environment. In doing so, information about the environment is transferred to gene pool, leaving the individual genomes of the next generation on average better suited to survive and reproduce in the local environment.

That’s it. And yet the process is so powerful that scientists can actually look at a given genome and read out information about the primitive environments the genome’s ancestors had passed through (for instance, that the recent ancestors of mammals were primarily adapted to a nocturnal lifestyle).

In a sense, all that natural selection shares with intelligence is the trial and error aspect, except that this step doesn’t involve the immense information challenges, and it doesn’t take place by juggling both the abstract AND real world applications. Everything happens directly in the real world, interfacing directly with all the subtle elements of the real world rather than having to worry about translation problems.

In short, the information challenges that face evolution via natural selection look, on any fair comparison, to be far less demanding and absurd than those that an even idealized intelligent process faces. If there is any sort of “second law” of information, then the operation of an intelligence violates it many many more times over than natural selection, and in far grosser and sloppier ways.

Could this be why ID theorists refuse to probe very much deeper into the potential operation of their explain-all?

A final addendum: ID theorists might object that an intelligence might not operate by the idealized means I describe. My response is that, well, I’ve at least drawn up a description of how an intelligence works that at least has a legitimate and meaningful claim to the word. If they aren’t going to supply some alternative, then they might as well be declaring that it was done by magic, and they have no right to appeal to “intelligence” as their explanation.

I’d appreciate comments, even from other critics of intelligent design, as to how to make this argument stronger or clearer.

The ID proponents won’t accept this argument. They’re positing an omniscient and perfect intelligence that doesn’t need to model, because it knows how its design will turn out. And it doesn’t need to collect information because it has all information. It being the creator of the universe, it already knows everything about everything in the universe, including all interlocking chains of potential cause and effect.

You, on the other hand, are talking about human intelligence. Not the same thing at all.

A major problem with Intelligent Design, from my own perspective, is that while it’s fine and well to say, “this is the product of an intelligent creator”, it still doesn’t answer the fundamental question of “how?”. How does the intelligent design actually manifest itself? Are molecules psychically manipulated? Does sheer force of will temporarily alter the laws of physics (it is claimed, after all, that such features cannot arise through purely naturalistic means, so there must be some violation of natural laws in order to bring these changes about)? Are probabilities skewed by “arranging” for two molecules to come into contact with one another which, if left alone, would never have done so?

Because Intelligent Design proponents actually admit that evolution functions at some scale, the questions regarding how, when, and why nature needs a “push” to continue evolving along certain trends becomes rather important. Mere appeals to complexity are insufficient, as step-wise alterations can easily proceed from “simple” to “complex”.

Intelligent Design, then, is not a mechanism for biological change. At best, it is an attempt to discern between intelligent and natural designs. But without the ability to identify specific conditions under which intervention is necessary, as well as the means by which this intervention occurs, it fails even at that task. The result is something more akin to technobabble than to anything resembling science.

I love your title - except, to quibble, I wouldn’t give ID the status of theory. But I know why you used it.

I don’t see how ID goes against any natural laws, and I don’t think your information argument is one against it. The main problems with ID is that it “creates” a designer where none is needed, since all structures can be explained by evolution, and that it posits a designer when there is no evidence for one. In addition, it does not say anything about when the design events happened, how often they happened, the intereraction of them with evolution and natural selection, etc. LMM, there is no requirement the designer be the Creator - the Raelians are IDists and think space aliens did it. I’d love to see the reaction of the religious IDers to the proposal that ID be taught, but the Raelian version!

We can’t disprove or invalidate ID until they come up with some sort of falsifiable hypothesis. I’m not holding my breath. Until they do, we can ignore it.

If I remember my reading of Michael Behe’s Darwin’s Black Box correctly, he supposed that the genetic potential for all subsequent life was contained in the genomes of the earliest living cells. Even he admitted this was purely supposition.

Elsewhere in the same book, of course, he (correctly) stated that currently-unused systems in an organism are bred away, since it’s maladaptive for an organism to spend energy maintaining a system that isn’t being used.

The contradiction seems to be lost on him.

This is exactly the power of my argument. I pin them down: the concept of “intelligence” is one that must have some sort of functional meaning: when they smirk about how easily intelligence solves design problems, there has to be some sort of content there to justify the smugness.

If they make the theist point, however, they have already lost on at least two counts. First of all, they’ve admitted what they’ve been denying: that it’s god and only god that they’ve really been talking about all along. That isn’t very interesting to me though. What’s interesting are the contortions necessary to describe the operation of the creator of the universe as intelligent in any way that we can legitimately use that word.

I didn’t add this part into the OP, but think about it. What does it mean that the creator “already knows” everything? What does it mean to know things? To try and work that into any sort of idea of intelligence, any sort of thought process, and we are left with a model in which reality is perfectly duplicated within a mind! The operation of intelligence as we know it is to concieve of things: model them in ways that strip them back to their key elements in order to make them easier to grasp and thus to do thought experiments in lieu of carrying them out in the real world, hopefully saving time and effort. But a perfect mind which does not do this saves no time and effort: the operation of its thoughts duplicate reality exactly. Indeed, one might well ask what is the purpose of reality when thoughts make it redundant (or vice-versa)? A perfect mind might as well trial and error in the real world as opposed to in its thoughts. And worse, if the being needs no trial and error, even in thought, then in what sense is it intelligent or thinking at all? In what sense is it thoughtfully designing anything? To simply instantly choose correct specific mechanisms without any consideration or modeling isn’t any sort of thinking or intelligence that deserve those words. It’s nothing less than inexplicable, unintelligible magic.

But not on Kenneth Miller, one of his harshest critics.

Though, it isn’t quite energy reuqirements that causes the degredation of unused informatin, it’s the fact that natural selection won’t be able to weed out maladaptions if they are never expressed. Mutations can simply accumulate without the gene pool “knowing” it because they are never expressed.

My issue was more that ID proponents wrongly appeal to intelligence as if it simplified the problem of information, rather than compounded it to a rather absurd degree. Even if we didn’t have to explain the origin of an intelligence, we can still see pretty clearly by my example how information intensive the operation of intelligence is: how many back and forth transfers are necessary, and so on.

The fact is, natural selection provides an exceedingly elegant and efficient solution as to how information can be added to a natural system. Intelligence, on the other hand, is a messy, inefficient, and roundabout method prone to sloppiness and reality-to-thought-to-reality translation problems.

Not really. The biggest problem with the ID “theorists” is their fundamental dishonesty. Whenever they get called on specific claims of “irreducible complexity” manifested in some structure or system, and ID is convincingly shown to be wanting, they change the definition of what is IDed to either focus on some “core” element of the same subject, or by completely changing the focus to some different subject that hasn’t been sufficiently scrutinized yet to discount their claims to their unreasonable satisfaction. It’s a creationist shell game, with a heaping helping of smoke-and-mirrors, pure and simple. At any rate, since the “theory” is completely untestable, I don’t see how, in any even, be the ID proponents honest or not, it would be “well and fine” to discuss ID in the context of scientific discourse. It’s pseudoscience, through-and-through, and was in crisis the moment it was dreampt up. Well-formulated refutation is almost superfluous, but for an impressionable public desirious of evidential “proof” of their God.

The fact is, I don’t think we should hedge all our bets on the expectation that ID can never be formulated as a meaningful theory. While I think, for instance, that Dembski’s approach is absurd, there is nothing unscientific about trying to develop a method to distinguish intelligent design from natural means (provided that, unlike dembski’s approach, it doesn’t rely upon simply absurdly restricting what “natural” means are). Nor do I think that ID proponents are entirely without a leg to stand on when they argue that they need not specify exactly what mechanisms ID beings used. It’s true that this leaves them without testable predictions in terms of specific elements of biological history. But they can still get by noting that there are things we know that intelligence can do, leaving it the likely means to solve various informational hurdles. This is why they need to be nailed down not on the elements where they can waffle (particular physical mechanisms), but on those that would be core to any claim that “intelligence” was in operation and is a superior or more plausible mechanism than natural selection or other natural processes.

I don’t see how a theory that makes untestable predictions in any circumstance can be called scientific.

They don’t always make untestable predictions. IC is a testable prediction, even if it isn’t by itself really a meaningful component of a larger ID theory. But the basic idea: that a true IC system would be characteristic of an intelligent being rather than natural selection, isn’t un-apt. It’s just finding and proving an IC system that has proven to be elusive. :slight_smile:

I’ll add this post to the mix about ID.

IC isn’t even, and probably can’t be, defined. One is able, in principal, to demonstrate convincingly that complex biogenic structures or systems can arise in the absense of ID by natural selection. Can one prove IC without total knowledge? I rather doubt it.

It suggests itself to me, however, that if we want to describe natural selection as a specific process that produces things in characteristic ways, then it doesn’t hurt to be able to distinguish things that have arisen from ID from those whom have been shaped by natural selection. No doubt in our future, we will enounter both sorts of creations and wish to distinguish between them. In a certain way, defining ID helps better delineate natural selection so that it is less an “explain-all” and more of a specific process that we can show operated here on earth.

What is a defining characteristic of IC? Dembski’s own qualifications (a system has IC if it cannot be missing pieces, and no simpler system can can be shown to achieve the same function) effectively destroys his definition through empirical self-negation, so what is left that is operative? The only characteristic I can think of using to describe the converse in a system, emergent biogenic complexity, is its demonstrable phylogeny, which, thus far, has always been available by some or other means, at least in principle. Perhaps the only truly operative definition of IC I’ve ever seen amounts to claims of undemonstrable phylogeny, which have always proven spurious thus far.

About the only recorse to lack-of-evidence the ID folks have left is natural abiogenesis, and even that is theoretically testable. ID can always claim to jump back a step, and hence cannot be disproven.

You’re right that in practice, it is very hard to prove that a system cannot have had functional intermediaries, especially when those intermediaries could have had different functions or even “scaffolding” that later went away. Remember though: the extent to which we cannot find ways to distinguish natural selection from ID is what keeps the waters murky.

But if it could be shown that, for instance, all parts of a complex system DID come together all at once, that would be well beyond any mechanism of mutation, let alone natural selection, to explain. The major problem for proving IC is that there is no clear historical record of how certain systems came to be: did they occur because of gradual additions (consistent with natural selection taking advantage of random mutation), or did they come about all at once (consistent with design)?

I would disagree for the following reason: at some point in our future, I feel it is inevitable that we are able to partake in some “intelligent design” of our own. Already, we are able to modify the genome and create organisms which, had our hand been absent, would likely never have appeared. Certainly, then, there is some merit to identifying intelligent design, as we do know it exists (what we do not know is whether God, a god, or an alien species has been performing similar experiments on our genomes). Ultimately, that should be the focus of inquiry for IDists, if they really wanted to be scientific: can we, as humans, distinguish our own handiwork from that of nature’s? Can we readilly distinguish the “genetically modified” corn from the “natural” corn (of course, we had a hand in the “natural” part too, which probably complicates things, but you get the idea), without prior knowledge of which is which? If even that much can be accomplished, then ID could be legitimately scientific.

It is the underlying premise of “God as creator” that turns ID into pseudo-science. Detached from the politics of creationism, ID theory could become relevant.

Even disregarding the minutiae of genetics, the system fails as soon as you ask who designed the designer. On the assumption that the designer of the designer (designer[sub]2[/sub] if you like) is greater than that which it creates, and capable of knowing absolutely all potential problems and flaws, why design a perfect (by human standards) designer (designer[sub]1[/sub]) which then turns around and designs life on Earth, which even to our puny human mortal eyes has numerous flaws?

I still don’t see it. It’s not as if natural selection produces elegant results - look at the species that have gone extinct, our blind spot, etc. That’s one of the arguments for NS - if a designer did it, it must have been a piss poor one.

Information is a red herring. IDers and creationists invent information conservation laws that don’t exist. The amount of information in the genome is exactly the same no matter how it got there.

I think you are talking about the efficiency of the design process. I have seen many examples of GAs applied to areas I know of. They have the advantage of being easy to code and sometimes finding solutions in the solution space not found by deterministic algorithms. However the algorithms always beat them in terms of time to find a solution and effectiveness of the solution.

The designer would have to do the things you mention, but he might have very effective simulators, and might have done it before on other worlds, thus being skilled in design. No doubt he’d have to tape out animal rev 1 for testing, but that might get introduced to a bringup lab before being released to the wild. It might take more steps, but it would be faster. Considering the number of bugs in our genome, it appears that the designer never did a third tape out and issued an errata sheet instead.

No, if there was a designer I’d expect a higher quality result. NS explains the slowness and messiness of evolution much better. So I agree with your conclusion, but for the opposite reason.