Iowa Caucuses

I know, but that’s not what I meant. Heck, I like Huckabee. I don’t think his religion is something he wears, unlike so many other politicos.

From what I’ve seen, Santorum has more of a religious “aura” than the other candidates. If an evangelical was looking for someone to vote for in 2008 it was gonna be Huckabee and in 2012, it’s Santorum.

Yea, verily, may “Bob” everlastingly bless Dan Savage!

I don’t know if this is true, but it’s something I’ve noticed: Where Santorum wins, he wins pretty convincingly. Where Romney wins, Santorum is more or less right behind him.

No. The caucuses are a prelude to the state convention, where delegates (who come from the caucuses) can change their votes.

Which makes the caucus process even more – what? Meaningless?

ETA: Actually, I think the caucus delegates go to county conventions, then state. Whatever, nothing’s written on stone.

Well, Iowa approved gay marriage via judicial decisions and at the next election a whole bunch of judges who supported said decision lost. Also, the people who are generally in support of marriage equality are not really participating in republican caucuses.

I think the public vitriol between Newt and Romney is setting up a third party run by someone (Santorum? Newt? Sarah? The Donald?) quite nicely. It’s like when wrestlers jaw at each other after a Pay-Per-View Royal Rumble in order to set up a fantastic new story line in the months to come.

PBS NewsHour was talking about how the counties around Sioux City might go for Romney, yet all of it seems to be strongly Santorum country,

Next stop? Regionals!

Wow. Romney and Santorum are currently 5 votes apart.

It just never… gets… old!

As for the race, my screen is showing Romney up by 40 votes or so right now (although it was a 5-vote advantage for Santorum on the previous update).

Really a great night for Romney all around I’d think. I can’t imagine there are nearly enough not-Romney voters in NH that would actually vote for Santorum - he’s just not the right flavor for NH, so to speak.

Santorum is the flavor they hunger?

Just heard Gingrich on the radio saying how (despite running fourth) he’s not dropping out, going to fight it in NH, etc.

So. Going into the first primary in a four-way race that still includes three not-Romneys.

[pops corn]

Somewhere in Vegas tonight, I’d say chances are pretty good Santorum’s gonna cover the spread.

I think Perry, and even Bachmann, will see the light and pull the plug in the coming days.

As others have said, I think Huntsman is really running for 2016, so he may stay in for a while, and spend just enough money to remain on the radar.

Gingrich is delusional. He never had a shot in the first place, but his blip as the not-Romney has gone to his head. If he doesn’t win SC, he’ll drop out.

Paul will probably stick around for a while and be the sty in the eye of whoever the frontrunner is at the moment.

Although, in the end, Romney will be the nominee, it’s still fun to watch all the other candidates make fools of themselves.

Yes, that’s how it tends to work. Unless Romney’s been trying to clone himself a running mate…

Perry’s already announced he’s out.

ETA: actually I guess he’s announced he’s “reassessing his campaign”, so not officially out yet.

The problem is imagining a scenario where Gingrich takes SC or FL. Paul and Santorum will still be around, and so will the anti-Newt ads that worked so well in Iowa.

To see Gingrich winning, one really has to envision Romney’s vote share rarely getting much above 30%.

Ron Paul’s numbers aren’t surprising. In the more “liberal” parts of the state, Romney & Paul did the best. These are the neighbors of the people who helped Howard Dean and Barack Obama back in the good ole days.

The 2 remaining counties to report are currently split 1 for Romney, 1 for Santorum. It looks like Santorum may end the night with a slight edge. He’s currently 15 votes ahead.

Yeah, it looks like it will be less than 20 votes between the two of them.

See? In Iowa, our votes really DO count.