To the OP:
I am exactly in the same boat as you, and that boat is sitting right on the fence.
First of all, this is not a black and white issue here. So let me tell you how I interpret things that are going on. First of all, there is no debate that Saadam is a sick F*&^K who needs to be taken out of power. Not even France and Russia disagree with that.
But here is where it gets grey:
This war is not just about Weapons of Mass Destruction or helping liberate an oppressed people or gaining control of the oil, or protecting Israel, or finishing up George Sr.'s unfinished business…it’s about ALL of those things. And France, Germany and Russia are not vetoeing the U.S because “they are a peacful nation that wants to preserve the peace”. This whole thing does boil down to money (like almost everything in this world). France and Russia have major oil development contracts signed with Iraq, that cannot be put into effect until the U.N Sanctions are lifted, but will be totally cancelled if the U.S institutes a regime change by force (because the U.S will control the new regime). So France and Russia are playing the “preserve the peace” card, just like the U.S is playing the “get rid of W.O.M.D” card.
So why am I on the fence? The last thing this world needs is another war, and more killing. The whole mentality of “you killed my brother, so I’m gonna kill your whole family” doesn’t work. It doesn’t work any better for street gangs like the Crips and Bloods, or Italian Mafia, or Palestine/Isreal or the U.S retaliation for 9/11. Violence just brings more violence. BUT, I am a realist as well, and as much as I don’t want violence, I do know that Saadam has been in power too long. His people have been oppressed too long. And he does have W.O.M.D that he will use to threaten Israel, and supply to terrorist organizations. And he is playing games with the U.N, and has been for 12 years. So for all of those reasons, I want to go in there and take him out of power, as quickly and with as little casualties as possible.
I wish this was as simple as Hitler invading Poland, and trying to take over the world. And I hate the fact that we are going to make a pre-emptive strike (which IIRC we have never “started” a war with a country, other than the Revolutionary War…but we were not a country yet). ANYWAY, I don’t like it, but we are living in a different world than 1942, and the rules of aggressive action by a country like Iraq have changed. They don’t have to invade another country to be a major threat to the world. On top of which, the stakes are ALOT higher with Biological, Chemical and Nuclear Dirty Bombs.
At first I had hope that the inspectors could find stuff, but it has been increasingly evident to me that games are being played with them, and even if we give them 4 more months, I don’t think they will find the “smoking gun”. By then, it will be the middle of the summer, and our enlisted men and women will be in more peril than they already are.
I do believe in a democracy, and I do welcome any and all protests. I just hope that the mass protests don’t make our enlisted men and women feel like we don’t support them, and start to defeat their morale.
Finally, regarding your post about “stepping aside and letting the military do their thing”. Again, I am on the fence about this. I have never been in the military, and have no idea what it would take to win a war, nor do I have any idea how to interrogate a sadistic terrorist who thinks his god wants him to kill innocent civilians (and therefore would rather die than give up the information). I am probably being naive, but I just put my faith that the U.S military will do it as quickly and with as much regard to civilian life as possible.
Below is my information about France & Russia and the oil contracts. I don’t know how to do a link.
WASHINGTON’S OILPOLITIK
By Michael T. Klare
The most detailed survey of recent Iraqi oil deals appears in the 2001 edition of World Energy Outlook, the annual publication of the International Energy Agency (IEA), an intergovernmental body based in Paris that the United States helped create. According to this survey, Iraq has sold off development rights to areas holding an estimated 44 billion barrels of oil — an amount equal to the total proven reserves of all East Asian countries combined. Among the companies that are parties to these deals are such European giants as ENI and TotalFinaElf along with Lukoil of Russia and the China National Petroleum Company (CNPC).
These development projects cannot be implemented in the current political environment, which places Iraq under U.N.-imposed economic sanctions. But if sanctions are lifted, and the current regime (or one that it allows to be formed) remains in power, Iraq’s vast untapped reserves will fall under the control of non-U.S. companies. Some of these companies will, no doubt, want to sell their output to the United States; others, however, may prefer to send their oil elsewhere, or to use these supplies for political advantage. In any case, the United States can have no assurance that they will be available to satisfy America’s future energy requirement. Obviously, the only way to prevent this from happening is to engineer a “regime change” in Baghdad, and install a government that will cancel these agreements.