There’s already a whole thread for that. Let’s keep the analogies there, I’d suggest. Update as desired to accommodate new Poll results.
How about a cooking analogy?
So if the Republicans go to, say, Pennsylvania, that’s a sign of strength.
If the Democrats go to North Carolina, that’s a sign of weakness.
What you appear to be saying is that anything the Republicans do is a sign of strength; anything the Democrats do is a sign of weakness. I’m sensing a bit of partisan bias here. Just a hint of it.
Nate’s prediction has dropped to 92.0% for Obama, down from 92.2%. Just the break the Romney campaign needs!
Breaking news: 100% of Americans are really happy it’ll be over soon.
To give proper credit, Micah Cohen writes the state analysis on 538.
The landslide begins, with a single 0.2% pebble!
Right, for want of a nail, the quantum vacuum that is our universe collapsed instantaneously. Sometimes it works out like that.
Oh, no, maybe Omg is right!
In the end, the Unskewedpolls guy couldn’t keep his landslide game going, winding up with a 275-263 Romney prediction. I think he knew the jig was up.
Looking at unskewedpolls site, this is my favorite line (at the bottom of the pages):
If that list of sites doesn’t scream “Objective Thinker”, then I don’t know what does.
It’s the Homebrew Putsch I guess. If he doesn’t win, America has secured freedom under the Willard Republic.
First and foremost, Obama doesn’t need Florida, Virginia, New Hampshire, Iowa or even Colorado to win. That’s a fact which has been stated here time and time again.
Anyway, not that it matters, but that’s not my argument. My argument was that in 2008, Obama was campaigning in Republican favorable states. Today he’s campaigning in states he carried by a huge percentage in 2008 (or even states he doesn’t need to win). That says a lot, whether you want to believe it or not.
I’m not sure what you think that says, but I think it says that this election will be closer than 2008. Which nobody denies. It does not imply that Obama is losing, though.
It says some pretty obvious and mundane things to me. I’m missing any big insights, though.
Anyway, there’s a pretty major poll being taken today. Let’s see you unskew it. 
It tells me that he’s leaving nothing to chance.
I read last night that Obama is taking today off but that Romney will still be campaigning. What does that tell you?
I guess some would say that it means Romney is confident he can flip California. <pats them on head>
It means Obama’s already given up, cause he knows he’s gonna lose. Duh.
Cold but clear, sunny skies in NE Ohio today. Good news for a strong Democratic turnout here. My wife and I will vote this afternoon.
Presented as a public service, “The Poor Voter on Election Day” by John Greenleaf Whittier: Black and White Party Attire and Hosting Tips
Also, as it happens, it’s John Philip Sousa’s birthday (1854). Here’s some classic American march music to get you in the proper Election Day spirit:
Nate Silver says 90.9% chance of an Obama win. That’s called staking your career on the outcome.