There’s a new political tendency emerging in America: “Radical centrism.” It appears to defy “left-right” categorization in cultural as well as economic terms. It expressly rejects socialism, but many of its proposals are welfare-statist or redistributive in nature. It is based on a conception of American nationalism – variously labeled “national liberalism” or “democratic nationalism” – which celebrates a melting-pot conception of American national identity, and rejects Wilsonian “liberal globalism” but also rejects the neoconservatives’ militarism and unilateralism. It is rather technocratic in tone, or at least technology-oriented, in that it treats as important political issues problems that are the products of recent technological progress, and which Democratic and Republican leaders hardly even acknowledge as issues – e.g., regulation/deregulation of the airwaves, and the potential social consequences of genetic engineering on humans.
The most important American radical-centrist organization at present is the New America Foundation, a policy study institute which has been described as “the Silicon Valley’s think-tank.” Its website (http://www.newamerica.net/index.cfm?pg=home) discusses the following NAF projects:
BTW, the NAF also supports pro-multipartisan electoral reforms, such as proportional representation and instant runoff voting. See Steven Hill’s commentary on Gov. Schwarzenegger’s proposed redistricting of California: http://www.newamerica.net/index.cfm?pg=article&DocID=2240
This is a lot to chew on, BrainGlutton. I am precisely in this group’s target market, and unsurprisingly, many of these ideas resonate intensely with me. To stimulate actual debate, perhaps we should just choose one of these proposals to dissect.
How about the Asset Building Program? It’s a redistributive proposal, but you can’t really call it socialist. Rather, it aims to strengthen capitalism by giving every citizen a real ownership interest in it. That’s how Henry Ford thought: “No man who owns his own home can be a Bolshevik.” From “The $6,000 Solution,” by Ray Boshara, Atlantic Monthly, 2/1/03, http://www.newamerica.net/index.cfm?pg=article&DocID=1146:
I believe that before we enhance capitalism in America, we should implement capitalism. The true owners of corporate America are not the stockholders, it is the managers. If we gave back the ownership to the capitalists, it would improve the returns in the stock market, on average. (There’s always irrational exceptions.)
As it stands, it’s nearly impossible for stockholders to change the corporate governance structure to oust the overpaid, underperforming managers. These managers vote themselves huge bonuses and are not held accountable for bad judgements, do not return profits to the stockholders, and watch each others backs to keep each other employed, or if not employed, at least leaving the company with a hefty sum of the stockholders’ moneys.
If we were to make sure that, at the very least, the outright deceivers get hard time, it would improve both our productivity and faith in our nation. We should go further and demand a true voice for the owners of the company rather than the lords, usurpers.
The $6,000 proposal would not be, as it stands, a true stake in ownership of America, as previously explained, especially if one cannot invest it in real estate or material objects.
And by no means would a “safe” investment yield anywhere close to 7%: that is the expected return of stocks for the foreseeable future. And who knows if American stockholders will eventually demand a return to true profits rather than “reinvestment” in the companies, which by definition are economically inefficient since only a handful of people get the choice in how to spend them, rather than many in the case of dividends.
Therefore, I also think that somehow equating the tax benefits of dividends versus reinvestment by the companies would greatly lead to a stronger faith in the American Way and a greater economy. Whether it would come about by increasing corporate taxes or reducing personal ones, if Americans knew that they could have more of the profits for themselves to direct as they see fit with no tax penalty, even the current executive stranglehold would not be able to prevent dividends from being increased. And the power of stockholders could not but increase thereafter with their newfound access to the new moneys.
But more important is reforming the corrupt corporate governance structures.
But how is that possible in practice? Most investors have no particular interest in managing the companies in which they happen to “own” a “share”; their stock certificates are nothing but casino chips to them. A given investor might buy and sell shares in hundreds of companies in the course of a year, and might be unable even to name all the stocks in his portfolio on a given day.
I submit that there are two ways of analyzing this proposal. The first is to test whether this asset scheme proceeds consistently from New America Foundation’s principles and whether it meets our own standards of fairness and justice. The second, which I think I would rather take up here, is to analyze whether the projected consequences of this scheme are consistent with its goals.
For now, I accept that this plan is consistent with NAF’s mission and, to me, is essentially fair. I daresay I am even excited about it.
Practically speaking, it does a little worse.
Financing for this scheme is not straightforward. Between April 2000 and July 2004, there have been an estimated 17,198,187 births. This plan rapidly becomes costly, especially since initial allocations need to be adjusted for inflation. This financing really has to be generated by current revenue: borrowing on the margin is dangerous for an individual, and utterly irresponsible for government, especially given the possibility that increased borrowing may correlate with higher interest rates, thus crowding out private sector investment.
Making room using current revenue would have to be offset by a concomitant reduction in funding in other places or some other creative funding vehicle. Higher taxes do not seem to be consistent with this group’s core fiscal principles. I am not certain how I feel about trading off what few current benefits I feel I have for America’s yet unborn.
The idea of a seven percent return on a “relatively safe portfolio” is humorous. One does not generate seven percent out of thin air nor by peddling government paper. This return is only as sustainable as our productivity growth. Historically, this ain’t so great, nor does it appear to be sustainable.
The restricted nature of access to funds is also problematic. Before I pass judgment, I would have to see some proposed criteria that are more concrete than the ones listed below. Rules of this type can pervert incentives or induce people to make unhelpful decisions.
Last but not least, what entitlements will we reasonably be able to eliminate if this act is implemented?
In my community, we have been working on implementing models to share our resources amongst people around us. We become economically dependent upon one another, but to a large degree it creates a common bond that gives us more freedom as our network expands.
We’ve taken the commonality inherent in the underground electronic dance culture, and built more and more out of it. We use each other’s networks and expertise to enhance our own professional lives, and we use collective manpower to drive down the costs on projects we all hold dear to our hearts. There is a large movement across the board in this arena, and my personal network covers New York, Chicago, San Francisco and we are working on LA, Orlando and Albuquerque. Large festivals such as Burning Man oftentimes act as conventions for these activities.
To bring this around to having a point, my point is simply that I don’t want to see the policymakers DO anything to help me except to retract policies that hinder me. I think that the only way to promote sustainability is to build it up from the ground level, so that’s what we do. Our network is rather large and it expands exponentially as we don’t just introduce new people, we introduce new networks into the fold. Applications such as Friendster and MySpace facillitate this culture quite well.
So overall I tend to agree with this end of thinking on policy, but I would rather see a more community oriented ground up approach than to see more energy wasted trying to change the top. When you try to change things at the top you have to affect the entire populace to be successful, but when you change things at the bottom, you only have to change your little realm to be successful, and then you connect to other networks that have been moving in the same direction as you have, eventually market saturation occurs and you have changed the macro, rather than trying to turn the entire macro around at once.
I think the government needs to get it’s hands off of my ASSets. I also think that there is a myth of the middle class. I’d rather see resources divided up tribally amongst communities that network with one another. There is no need for every family of four to own their own house, but a cooperative community can own a whole building. The way it works now in many cases however, is that the building is made up of shareholders who have no commonality other than being a shareholder in the cooperative. I’d like to see more cooperatives built with purpose. As I used myself as the example, I’d turn my own particular cooperative into a multimedia collective if I had the money to implement it. Getting that money is down the road and we are making plans to be able to execute such a maneuver. Not only does this defray costs by sharing resources and utilizing collective buying power, it also reduces the need for redundant resources. The collective can own a toolshop and run it’s own servers rather than each person needing access to an individual drill for instance. So the environmental cost is driven down, while the standard of living is driven up. Not only that, but the individual domestic skillsets come into play, and the person who isn’t as good at eating healthy is more exposed to the people who are good at eating healthy. I’ve seen these principles in action, and have worked to implement them on a smaller scale, the issue now is just to start making them work on a larger scale such as a whole building, rather than on the level of six - ten people in a loft.
That’s how I feel about the assets. I am conflicted on issues such as socialized medicine. Part of me feels that community group health plans that one buys into are the answer, but another part of me isn’t so sure that universal healthcare isn’t the answer.
Boshara estimates a cost of $24 billion a year. If his math is correct, that’s chicken feed by federal standards – one-fourth the annual cost, to date, of the invasion and occupation of Iraq, and “about a sixth of what the government gives in tax breaks to corporations every year.” (Hint, hint.)
Cite? You’re contradicting the whole system of Keynesian economics here; you don’t get to just state it as an obvious common-sense fact. (Especially as we’re living under an administration that, although Republican, appears to be perfectly comfortable with deficit spending.)
Well, that’s what I was referring to when I called Boshara’s proposal “redistributive” (a word he himself does not use). More progressive taxes – a much heavier net tax burden on the rich – are indeed consistent with their principles. See the “Fiscal Policy Program” in the OP.
Boshara’s thinking seems to be that a nation of wealth-owners would be less dependent on “entitlements” (at least, on the welfare-and-food-stamps scale). Note also that the NAF is for health-insurance reform – not on the Canadian single-payer model, but they are thinking in terms of some form of publicly subsidized universal coverage. See the “Health Policy Program” in the OP.
To put it simply, I think the top-down paradigm just cannot work sustainably in a global market. One must work from the bottom-up in every instance, and solidify their foundation before they move up to the top of the pyramid. If individual nodes could see that other nodes in other places are building up like they are, then there would be the attainable interim goals of meeting up with the other networks/nodes. Basically, take the internet model and apply it to community building. An approach like this implements both socialism and capitalism in concert, rather than forcing the macro to accept either.
This number is simply 4m births per year times $6k. This does not include presumably vast administration fees, transaction fees, investment management costs, and periodic adjustments for inflation. In order for later generations to avoid receiving less than the present generation, the initial allocation must somehow be indexed to inflation. Furthermore, if you assume a mere 3% inflation per year, that erodes a significant percentage of the stakeholder’s real return. If I were born today, that $45,000 I would have when I hit 30 might by my beer and cigarettes.
Furthermore, any entitlement such as this must be secured. Americans would be building their hopes for the future on this money. The decision-making process young Americans would face during a period of downturn is very complicated: do you postpone your education in order to realize an increase in the value of your stake or do you cash out while you still can before your savings erode further? This is not a trivial problem and can only be offset by widespread security. I am simply not knowledgeable enough to guess how this would be done and at what cost. Hint: probably more than $24b per year.
I disagree. There is a significant difference between spending financed by public debt and financing investment on the margin. I can accept the government selling bonds to finance public works or the next Head Start program. I would need rather more persuasion to accept a government functionary picking stocks at taxpayer expense, or worse, hiring Goldman Sachs to do it.
Which yields in turn a host of transitional problems. Are people subject to the stakeholder benefit not eligible for these programs? Which ones?
Where would radical centrism stand on the free market economy? Would they regard it as something that must never be regulated, or regulated as little as possible, or would they regard it as something that has to be watched and regulated for the benefit of all? What kind of economics would radical centrism support?
I think this question is not very helpful. Asking “what kind of economics” is like asking “what kind of physics” radical centrism supports. It is rather nonsensical. For my part, I support quantum physics and neoclassical economics, for what it’s worth. When you drop stuff, it falls. Human beings respond to incentives. There is no need to saturate this in any more ideology than is strictly necessary, I don’t think.
Hmm, I don’t see why you are confused. So I’m having trouble clarifying for you, but I’ll try. Basically, whenever discussions like this come up I see the same question being asked, with a minor cosmetic form change. The question can usually be boiled down to:
“What can the government do to facilitate X.”, my answer to that would be that it’s not really an issue for the government. We need to stop focusing so much on the federal government. The federal government is not NEARLY as important as we act like it is. In fact most of our problems, IMO can be attributed to the federal government roundly failing at it’s micromanagement. It’s also nearly impossible to get things done at the federal level.
I recently read a quote from Tip O’Neill but I forget where I saw it from, “All politics are local.”
I’ll put it into a strategic perspective. When trying to win a war, one doesn’t spread their troops across the entire battlefield. They come down in a few sustainable zones where they can consolidate their power. Then those units drive a wedge through the enemy forces until they can connect to one another and establish supply lines. This is the key to sustainability. When you approach the federal government, it’s like trying to take the entire battlefield all at once.
Your concept of an “Asset building program” is flawed from the outset because it is a concept that requires the initiative to be taken by the bureaucracy. The American entrepeneurial spirit has fallen by the wayside as we’ve more and more come to depend upon big monolithic agencies for our day to day well-being. We can no longer see the fruits of our labor, and must depend upon stock numbers that benefit the stockholders we may never meet long before we ever see an increase in our own standards as part of the ‘lower’ or ‘middle’ class.
We don’t need an “Asset building program” we need a culture that is less dependent upon the federal and state governments.
Let me outline a simple model for a cooperative that I would like to implement at some point in my life.
You buy a building, you outfit it as a live and work situation. Say you have 30 residents. So you need residential for those 30 residents. Not every resident needs their own kitchen. There can be communal areas for recreation, such as an entertainment center area or two for watching movies, a library.
Then you have your commercial aspects, The building has a high speed internet backbone, it’s own web and mail servers. The web/mail servers could be revenue generating, they may not be. You have offices etc…
Then you have your industrial section. This is things like a wood/machine shop, perhaps a garage to fix cars in. A large room for photo/film shoots with a green screen that can also be used for social events like a ballroom.
Basically you have a lot of revenue generating possibilities available in a building like this, that can support the building and it’s residents. Then you defray costs by setting up a food cooperative within your building, or maybe with other cooperatives like your own. Every week you have a delivery of Lettuce, Cucumbers, Peas etc… Every month you get potatoes, rice, beans etc… Because you are buying in bulk the cost per person is driven down significantly. Also, a division of labor can be created, so that people pick up the slack where they are proficient, and they are picked up for where they are not proficient. Perhaps someone lives there and earns a stipend by managing the cleanup of the residence, or the food preparation, or however it is chosen to be handled.
The difference is, that we don’t need people in New York or Washington manipulating numbers to allow this to happen. The current system in place already allows for it. What is more important is that it be made easier for the individuals to manage things like Zoning restrictions.
Too often I see these conversations dominated by the people who are very good with the larger numbers, and it glosses out the “facts on the ground” or the people who want a less theoretical and more practical approach. I tend toward the middle ground of these two approaches, and I would like to have these conversations, but all too often I am pushed out because I don’t understand the statistical analysis portion, however I represent a large percentage of the population that isn’t stupid, just one that understands a different aspect of it all.
For instance, I’ve been active implementing a lot of these “Radical Center” ideas for the past two years. It doesn’t take the Federal government providing me an incentive to do what I am doing for me to do it. It’s not about creating a new middle-class either. The middle-class is part of the reason that we have many of the economic and environmental problems that we do. Our material possessions are too redundant. Too many of us own machines that sit in our closets collecting dust except for the once every two months we need to fix a door knob and pull out our power drill.
Again, I am not quite so good at the statistical analysis portion of the quiz, but I’ve always had this hunch that when we get world poverty statistics, they include farmers living in a sustainable equilibrium with their environment as though that is poverty. In a part of the world where water is available to grow crops, and the basic survival needs can be met at a subsistence level, then a dollar a day per person isn’t a bad living wage. I’d hate to see us push the American suburban model into the third world anymore than is necessary. The West has been antagonistic to tribal models of living in order to push “Civilization” when, IMO it’s a hybrid of tribal and global networks that we really need to push. We need to stop trying to break up tribal models to give them our “inherently” better model, and perhaps we should look at more tribal models for ourselves here.
The biggest problem I’ve found with adopting tribal models here is an inherent fear in attaching one’s well-being to that of those around. “I don’t mix business and pleasure.”, but our desire to assuage our fears by living two lives is inefficient. It requires more energy on every level, intellectually, emotionally, economically, and environmentally to sustain. We keep a comfortable detachment from the lives of our neighbors. In the original post it mentioned “Building reciprocal relationships”, and that’s what I think is key.
So I think this is a good thread, but I’d hate to see it hijacked into another statistical analysis of the situation, because that’s not a holistic picture of what we are talking about.
In short, I think “asset building programs” while maybe a part of it are unecessary and counter-productive, as taxes are taking money from the poor and middle-class to give to the poor and middle-class.
We need to see an end to paternalism and the welfare state, and right now we have an unprecedented opportunity with the technology recently availed to us.
Based on statements in the NAF website, I think they favor about as much regulation as there is now, with some changes in details. They differ from the Republicrats’ policies, not in how much economic regulation they countenance, but in what ends should be in mind.
Obviously, by “what kind of economics,” Evil meant, “what public economic policies.” For the rest – surely you don’t believe economics, at its present state of development, is anything near as exact a science as physics?
I disagree. I do not want to speak for EvilCaptor or anything, but I interpret this question as whether or not RC (wish I could do a sqrt symbol here) is hostile to the fundamentals of neoclassical economics. This is not a question of particular social policies, but a question of, among other things, how benefits of production should be divided between labor and capital. This is far more profound and ideological than simply fiscal policies.
Economics is hardly as exact a science as physics for many reasons, including the failure to model individual behavior in a robustly determinist way and the sheer novelty of the discipline. For what it’s worth, physics has been around for 2500 years and has probed all manner of esoterica. Not to mention the fact that the incentives that drive human behavior appear to change a little faster than, say, the rate of gravitational acceleration on earth at sea level.
The fact that economics isn’t an “exact” science does not undermine its successes in any way, just as the fact that physicists are often simply wrong does not undermine its exactness.
Are you interested in continuing the discussion about the stakeholder act?
Yes – and, in particular, please explain how the operations of neoclassical economics would make the proposal workable or unworkable.
Also – do you believe that it is a proven fact that the neoclassical economic theories are valid, and other schools, such as Keynesian economics or monetarist economics, are not? If so, why?