Is it common in these Mafia games for people to start racing their votes in on the most flimsy of reasoning?
I don’t know whether what I’m seeing so far is:
- Carefully thought out strategy
- Impatience
- Naive newbie error
- An over-estimation of one’s ability to identify wolves
In the only other game of Mafia that I have observed (the Split game), a couple of early votes for a user called november snowballed in to a landslide lynching of an innocent townie. november’s crime was to have a low post count, and this was wrongly perceived as suspicious. I saw the whole thing as people wanting to save their own skin, instead of thinking about what was best for the town.
Whatever we do, let’s avoid early pile-on landslides. We win as the town, right? Not as individuals? Carelessly tossing out early lynch votes plays straight in to the wolves’ hands. Instead, we should be forming sensible voting blocs against those who show genuine discrepancies and inconsistencies.
As a newbie, one thing has occurred to me:
What if all of us townies agreed to withhold our lynch votes until the last 24 earth hours of the game Day? We immediately fire our lynch votes, and lock them in, at the first person to break the rule. Even if the first lynch turns up townie, the lesson will be learned and the mistake will not be repeated. This will allow us to successfully gain control of when the wolves can vote, stifling their ability to cause the early pile-on nonsense from the Split game.
Another thing: Assuming we went with the above strategy, what if us townies all agreed to have made our lynch vote decision prior to the last 24 earth hours of the game Day? We all then stick with our vote, no matter what pile-on nonsense is developing in the thread. One of two things will then happen:
*** A townie gets lynched**
- The wolves, knowing that the townie votes will probably be split across many people, vote as a bloc to kill off a townie, or:
- Individual townies, acting independently of each other, all wrongly identify an innocent townie as a wolf.
I think option 2 is unlikely, and we can then focus our suspicion on those who voted to lynch the townie.
*** A wolf gets lynched**
Is there any sense in my strategy? Or are these types of wild ideas just common but long-discredited newbie attempts at intelligent Mafia strategy?