March to Super Bowl XXXX!! (Predictions and Trash Talk Galore!)

I still don’t know what you’re saying…

Just for the record, in the Carson Palmer interview he specifically said that he and Kimo didn’t know each other. He also said he didn’t think there was anything dirty about the hit.

Stay tuned, Divisional Round Playoff Predictions are forthcoming.

Yeah, the Seattle fans can raise the roof on that joint.

You didn’t see many Seahawks games this year, did you? Qwest Field is not a dome.

Not only that — I thought it was retractable! Like Houston. Duh.

I remember the Giants saying it was the loudest place they played this year.

Seattle Mariners != Seattle Seahawks

Yeah, it’s still supposed to be hella loud there though. Ditto Chicago. So Brunell had best work on his silent count.

Well the Divisional match-ups are set. I had a solid start, going 3 and 1 in my picks however the dream of a perfect run is already over. So very sad. I don’t know what happened with that Giant-Panther game, unfortunately I was unable to watch the bulk of it so I’m not sure where it went awry. Still, wisdom has to dictate that you always take a second look at a rookie QB in the playoffs. Whew, 4 INTs….this Bears fan just threw up in his mouth. Still, I must soldier on!

AFC Divisional Playoffs

Saturday, January 14th 8 PM ET
New England @ Denver
This is an interesting game and I think it’s probably the best possible match-up for the Pats. I say this because the Broncos weakest aspect is probably it’s WRs, Rod Smith aging and the rest inconsistent at best, which considering New England’s secondary’s issues is a bit of good fortune. These teams played a fairly close game in the middle of the season in New England where Denver came out on top. However, New England was missing tons of key contributors in that game. The most notable are Dillon, Faulk, Seymour and Bruschi. All of which will be serious factors in this game. Gamblers are simply scared to death of Jake Plummer and I concur. There’s been no indication that he’s going to do anything but play well based on this season’s performance but my stomach does a flip picturing him throwing a hot route into the teeth of a zone blitz. Still you’d be a fool to disregard the Broncos running attack. I think the defenses will be strained in this game. The Pats running game won’t be very productive, but if they keep the defense honest I expect a typical Brady performance……325 yards, 3TDs. The Broncos will have to convert in the redzone in order to win the game and if the Pats pass rush stays in it’s lanes against Plummer they might just create enough mistakes to get off the field. If Plummer plays superb, the Broncos will win it, but if he makes any mistakes the Pats will win the game. Largely due to the fact that the thought of Plummer breaking my back makes me nauseous and the fact that fate seems to be setting up an Indy-NE rematch I’m going to side with the Pats in a exciting game.

The Pick: Patriots

Sunday, January 15th 1 PM ET
Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis
The Steelers played a solid game with all kinds of attitude last week. They caught a break with the Palmer injury. Had he played a full game we might have gotten an impression of how the Pittsburgh pass defense would handle Manning. I think we can expect a really physical game. The Steelers played last week like someone pissed in their Cheerios, personally I thought it was piss poor sportsmanship and they are now my new least favorite team but nonetheless it’s a factor. They’ll probably do the same this week and try and bully and bruise the Colts, but the Colts will be playing with tons of emotion at home. They won’t back down. I hate to say it, but I think there’s going to be a couple injuries in this game as a result. So, if that prediction is true you can expect a hard hitting game with a couple turnovers on each side and some penalties at key spots. The Steelers secondary will not be able to contain the Colts passing game and Manning will eat up the middle of the field. The difference in the game will be if they get FGs or TDs. The Steelers running game will be productive, but the Colt D won’t be overrun. Big Ben will need to hold up his end of the bargain and he’s proven capable, so long as he’s not hassled. Homefield will play a major role. I expect the noise to cause trouble for the Steeler passing game and the speed of the turf to benefit the Colts. They simply have more team speed than Pittsburgh. I think this is the game where Bettis runs out of gas.

The Pick: Colts

NFC Divisional Playoffs

Saturday, January 14th 4:30 PM ET
Washington @ Seattle
Washington needs to get some offense this week if they want to have a prayer. There’s no question that Tampa’s defense is first class and a notch or two above Seattle’s but I’m not sure that Brunell can generate consistent offense. Washington was very lucky in that Tampa game and I don’t think they can expect defensive scores against a steady, balanced offense like Seattle’s. In the previous match-up the Redskins needed a last second missed FG to send the game to OT and get the win and both teams put up similar offensive numbers, so perhaps Washington’s poor offensive showing last week will be reversed here. Still, Brunell’s number at the start of the year were off the charts compared to the last 2 months. Seattle’s stout offensive line and ability to maintain long sustained drives has been what’s got them in the #1 slot and even against a strong D like Washington’s they won’t be totally stopped. This game shouldn’t be overthought. The Seahawks have a edge at RB and a huge edge at QB, the rest of the comparisons don’t offset those to factors. I’ll take the team with the Pro Bowl QB and MVP running back unless I have a really good reason. Here, I don’t.

The Pick: Seahawks

Sunday, January 15th 4:30 PM ET
Carolina @ Chicago
Here’s the game. I won’t pretend to even try and be impartial here, but I think I have good reason for confidence. Exhibit A is the previous matchup. BTW, it’s interesting that every single one of the Divisional games is a rematch of a regular season game, made more unlikely by the fact that none of the teams are divisional rivals. In the previous game, played in Chicago, the Panthers were totally manhandled by the Bear D. Defensively they contained the Bears and neither squad moved the ball consistently, but the Bears offensive line is the better of the two. The Bears need to improve their rush defense from where it’s been over the last 4 games or so, however that downturn coincided with some key injuries to the middle of the defense. Big hitter Mike Brown and LB Hillenmeyer will be back on the field for this game and everyone will be rested and ferocious at home. Still, Thomas Jones and whoever he splits carries with will need to be productive. Fox will certainly put the game into Grossman’s hands and everyone will very quickly be introduced to Rex. He likely won’t have much time get comfortable, because of this I was disappointed in Lovie’s decision to start Orton in the finale. Granted an injury to Rex would have been crushing, but having only gotten 2 games under his belt he may have benefited from an extra few series. The Bears offensive line must stop the pass rush and open some holes in order to make the play action effective. If they do, Grossman will have enough to work with. On the other side of the ball, the Bears defense must shut down DeShaun Foster and not allow any yards after catch from Steve Smith. If they do that they’ll be able to force the Panthers into 3rd and longs which is where the pass rush will shine. These teams are really so similar it’s scary, but I’m reassured by the evidence that the Bears offensive line should out play the Panther offensive line. Last time they played the Panthers gave up 8 sacks to the front 4, the Bears didn’t need to blitz and the Panther running game never got off the ground. I don’t expect Peppers and company to be totally quieted, but Grossman’s ability to make decisive throws quickly should help keep him out of the box score.

The Pick: Bears

Quick opinion poll for everyone. For next season when doing the weekly predictions, would it be better to have one thread in which each weeks predicitions were posted or start a new thread each week like I did this year?

My God, man, the season isn’t even over. Maybe you could do the Turin Olympics instead – over and under on the curling, that sort of thing.

But anyway… I vote new thread each week.

Don’t worry, March Madness is just around the corner. My gambling problem will not be neglected for very long.

My prediction: Canada over Britain, seven rocks to three (or however they score the thing.)

Picks:

Seahawks over Redskins
Colts over Steelers
Bears over Panthers
Broncos over Patriots

Y’all keep picking the Bears. Just like y’all picked the Giants. It’s going to be the same result. The Panthers are on a roll. Since mid season 2004 the Panthers are 18 and 7. Once everyone got healthy.

I’m looking for a rematch of one of the best Superbowl’s ever.

Answers:

Redskins, Patriots, Colts, Bears, new thread each week, OMG only two months and two days 'till selection Sunday!

More before game time if I have some free time.

As one who picked the Panthers last week as my second most confident pick of the four (easiest one was Jax @ Pats), I’m picking the Bears this week.

In almost every regard, and especially in the playoffs, I pay little attention to statistics. Gibbs is 17-5 in the playoffs… that doesn’t mean squat, especially considering he amassed that record more than a dozen years ago. The Pats have won 10 straight… impressive, but not a reliable guage for determining a winner each week. Etc., etc.

However, there is one stat that is impossible to ignore, and that is the tremendous advantage that a team coming off the first round bye has. Off the top of my head I don’t know what it is, and it’s not really worth looking up, as all it does is demonstrate numerically what common sense tells us.

The bye week teams aren’t perfect, and nothing says there can’t be an upset (I think they go 3-1 this week), but the advantage is huge amongst relatively equally matched teams, of which I wouldn’t even go so far as to say the Bears and Panthers are.

The Bears will shut down the Panthers inconsistent and mostly imaginary run game and put the game on Delhomme’s shoulders, and with Smith double covered the whole day, Delhomme (who isn’t a “great” QB, but perfectly adequate) won’t have anyone to throw to.

That means that all the Bears have to do to win is wait until Delhomme makes a mistake, or until Grossman makes a play.
4-0 last week. Sticking with my original picks, this week I’ve got:

Seahawks (I’d so love to be wrong on this one), Bears, Patriots, Colts

Saturday, Jan. 14
**SEATTLE 9 Washington 41 **
I think this spread is too big against a solid defense. Still think the Hawks will win it, but I don’t see it being a double digit win.
**DENVER 3 New England 44 **
This one is just where it should be. Two very equal teams, edge to the home team.
Sunday, Jan. 15
**INDIANAPOLIS 9½ Pittsburgh 47 **
Here’s another game in which I think the defenses are too god to predict a 10 point victory. Indy will probably win, but I just can’t envision a blowout with that Steelers D and running game.
**CHICAGO 3 Carolina 30 **
I agree with this one too. Love the Bears, but these teams are too similar to make them more than the stock 3 point home fave.

Interesting. Any historical precedent that the number 1 seeds get more than the standard 3 points over the 6 seeds; or am I merely forcing a pattern out of coincidence?

Imaginary running game? Smith double covered?

Foster is hot. 300+ yards in his last two games.

The Giants double covered Smith what did he do? They did a great job. They held him to only two touchdowns.

As for the defense.

Remember some guy called Tiki Barber?

Tiki who?

We have heard rumors that Tiki was actually in the hospital and that was Ronde Barber. :wink:

Um, over the last 2 games the Panthers played the 22nd and 24th ranked defenses. The Giants are the 27th rated pass defense. If that’s what you’re bragging on I feel more confident now than I did before.

4 Words: Bears Defense, Home Game.

Bet low my friend.

And take the under.

Yes, Foster has had back to back 100+ yard rushing games, bringing his yearly total up to 3. Twice against the Falcons, and once against a depleted LB corp.

Don’t get me wrong, I like the Panthers… but the Bears D isn’t the Giants D.

In any event, all the speculation in the world doesn’t change the fact that they’ve still got to play and that unforeseen events can happen. I personally don’t see the Panthers winning, but stranger things have happened and it looks to be an interesting game.
And, jrfranchi, I nearly peed my pants from laughing so hard when I read your Barber comment. Priceless :slight_smile: