Yep, this is big all right.
I’m probably in a self-selecting crowd, but the majority of the people I know aren’t bent out of shape by the MASC’s ruling today. They’re pretty surprised, no question, but not terribly upset. So my very unscientific survey seems to agree with the post above, that, by and large, the people of MA don’t have a big problem with the legalization of gay marriage. Archbishop O’Malley may say otherwise, but most of the Catholics in this state are pretty liberal. And besides the devout Catholics, the state is pretty secular in general, compared to other states.
So John Kerry is in a real bind, no question. We here in the People’s Republic most certainly do NOT vote like folks in the Bible Belt. How can Kerry stay true to his constituents and appeal to the South and the Heartland? Probably he can’t. At best, he can claim his personal values to not support gay marriage, while his constitutional and representational duties oblige him to honor the tolerant nature of the Mass. majority (bad pun, I know). Yeah, Bush is gonna flail him with this one.
Given the above, and for a few other reasons, I have a hard time believing the “activist jurist” hypothesis. If the the MASC really is hoping to institutionalize gay marriage, they seem to have chosen a risky way to go about it. Our state has no option now: Amend the constitution somehow, or gay marriage is here to stay. Since other states will be obliged to honor MA marriage licences, they must either accept it, or the US constitution must be amended. This is a big freakin’ deal. The only alternatives I see are an amendment to ban gay marriage, or an amendment making marriage licenses from one state invalid in another; so like a drivers licence, if you want to be recognized as “married”, and be a resident of another state, you’ve got to get a new license. The latter might have a huge negative impact on corporations, which will have to have separate benefits policies depending on the state; this would probably make it more difficult for certain sectors to keep empolyees in one state if said employees can just move to another state that better fits their values. It will divide the country in a way it’s never been divided before.
It’s a crisis, all around, and we’re being forced into it by a strict deadline that essentially cannot be met. If the MASC has an agenda beyond strict interpretation of the MA constitution, damned if I can guess what it might be. Be they gay-friendly or hostile, the consequences of their actions could go either way, and have very long-term consequences. It’s a hell of a gamble, if they’ve a vested interest in any particular outcome beyond clarification of the law.