Wow. What does Gingrich do at this point? It should be obvious to even an egomaniac like him that he has no chance at the nomination at all.
It does look like Romney will win Michigan. It says something that he could win in that state after saying “Let Detroit go bankrupt,” but his opposition certainly helps.
With 35% of precincts reporting:
Romney 143,529 41%
Santorum 131,329 38%
Paul 40,249 12%
Gingrich 22,656 6%
I’m going to go ahead and call Michigan for Romney, and I’ll give him 43% of the vote when all is said and done.
Yep, and it won’t be close like Iowa, so no one can say he couldn’t close the deal. Looks like Mr. Inevitable has his second wind.
Gingrich didn’t campaign in MI. It’s not part of his strategy. He plans on doing well in the Southern states yet to come.
The counties not yet reporting are counties that are not very heavily populated. The current results are probably predictive of the final results.
Oh well. With 42% reporting, Santorum is 12,000+ votes behind Romney. It’s over, Johnny. It’s over!
Then again, all the other Republicans have said similar things.
And I’m not comfortable drawing any conclusions with only 30% reporting, without a lot more hard data: Often, there are systematic reasons why the early-reporting precincts will favor one candidate or the other, which can’t easily be extrapolated to the rest of the state.
I’m not sure it even really matters, though: The fact that anyone’s able to even put up a fight against Romney in his home state is an extremely bad sign for him. I strongly suspect we’re going to see Santorum end up as the Republican nominee.
Intrade still favors Romney at 80%. And I would give Romney even higher odds: I think Santorum has a glass jaw. Romney could squash any of his three opponents in a 1:1 match, but playing whack-a-mole tends to drain his coffers.
Michigan isn’t really considered Romney’s home state.
With 66% reporting, the county map on CNN shows only these counties still processing (pop figs from wiki):
Sanilac, pop 42,064
Kalkaska, pop 17,153
Gogebic, pop 16,427
Almost nobody lives in these places.
They are reporting all the early voting first, which Romney was expected to have a large margin with. When the election day votes are counted, Santorum is expected to carry a larger margin. Still too early.
We could always see santorum surge from behind, like in Iowa.
Many are still processing, the colors just indicate who has the lead with the current number of votes counted. If you mouse over each county, you can see what percentage of votes has been processed.
NBC just called it for Romney. But let’s see how the delegate count goes…
Santorum. I sucked it up today and did my Democratic duty by casting a Wayne County vote for the frothy fecal matter. I’ve showered twice since.
You don’t really think you’ll get away with that, do you?
Isn’t Michigan a winner-take-all state, like Arizona?
No. 2 delegates per district - for whoever wins the district.
Plus two left over, which go the popular vote winner
http://www.minbcnews.com/news/story.aspx?id=724793#.T02ce4cgedZ