I’ve come up with what I think is a pretty good way to tell people (who get on my case about it) why it doesn’t matter whether or not I believe in (the Christian) God. I’m not a biblical purist by any means, but it has come in handy in arguments. Its based on a couple of assumptions, and it goes something like this:
If Jesus existed as the Bible says, then he died to forgive your sins.
Not believing in Jesus/God is a sin.
Therefore, you are forgiven for not believing in Jesus/God.
If not, it means there is one unforgivable sin, that God can’t forgive (or Jesus died to forgive all sins except one), and that’s the sin of not believing in Him.
I think muppet’s wager is pretty sound, if we can agree on these assumptions, and I admit there are some who would find them erroneous. So please, Dopers, poke holes in muppet’s wager. This is how we make things better, you know.