Ahh! This thread is getting very interesting, DSeif. Your definition of terrorism is good and provides us with common ground.
Granted. Destroying infrastructures is part of any war and can not across the board be classified as terror acts.
Essentially, you have a Pavlovian kind of view. Your claim is that positive reinforcement will render the behavior (terrorism) more common. And, to some limited extent, I must agree. Certainly if you reward a behavior it’s bound to recur at some point. However, this negative aspect of negotiating with groups using terror tactics against civilian targets is out of context. Viewed from a broader perspective, such negative effects must be weighed against the alternatives. Let’s for a moment assume we follow your suggestion of zero-tolerance. How long will it be before the opponent gives up? 1 year? 5 years? 10 years? And secondly, during that time frame, will the civilian attacks intensify, level out or abate? Thirdly, during the time of terrorist activity, how high will the civilian casualties be?
I hope that the deadly scenario I’m portraying is becoming apparent. As far as I can tell, no negotiation policies lead to intensified terror campaigns that draw out over years unless you can fully eliminate the opponent. And herein lays the error of our ways: the belief we can root out the enemy. To root out the enemy, we must also destroy its support from the civilian side. Which isn’t as easy as knocking up a few schools and re-educating the local population. Especially when you have to think of your own constituencies protesting budget cuts required to sustain such social programs. And who ever suggests forced relocation of entire peoples, in my opinion are about as daft as an I don’t know what. You’re just pushing the problem into someone else’s backyard.
We need to make a distinction here. People have been throwing around examples like McVeigh in this thread, grouping every conceivable terrorist into one single group. Groups like Timothy McVeigh’s have literally no constituencies beyond themselves (or at best a very small and fragmented one). Their opponents (in this case The U.S. Federal Government) can pretty much contain the problem without massive cost and hemorrhaging of the national economy. This is not the case for conflicts like Northern Ireland or Palestine. Groups active in these regions have substantial local support. The cost for containing the problem is horrendous because it drags on year after year after year, generation after generation. And the longer it goes on, the worse off the whole region is and the more support these groups receive. Because in trying to contain the situation, even a highly sophisticated military aggressor like Israel can’t avoid causing civilian casualties, thereby becoming the scapegoat for every ill. What we get is a vicious circle of violence.
Human society isn’t a conditioned dog in Dr.Pavlov’s lab. It’s a complex system where negotiation with any form of terrorist what-so-ever won’t by necessity lead to a viral propagation of violence that will ultimately destroy the organism as such. It will, however prove what you, DSeid, fear to admit: terrorism is a viable option for a sizable but not well armed population to achieve its goals. This is the bottom line. When people believe they are struggling for their very right to exist and have no means left to fight back, they will try anything. And you won’t be able to stop them. This is way depressed down-an-out young Palestinian are willing to sacrifice their lives for what they consider a just struggle against an oppressor seeking to relocate them. It doesn’t matter if they are right in believing this. You won’t be able to stop them using any viable military and economic means. They will die tomorrow, the day after, and in ten years from now, if you adopt a zero-tolerance plan. I have unfortunately taken the example of Palestine (which is like stepping into a mine field in this forum). But the same applies to Northern Ireland. The IRA would have continued their campaign to same extent as before unless the British were willing to negotiate with Sinn Fein. And this idea of super fences is a just fiction. Again, you need to look at cost. What good is it to resolve a situation if the resolution is going to ruin you economically? We’re talking bilions and billions of dollars here. Technology is nice, but let’s not get too sciefied away.
The decision on whether to not negotiate boils down to one simple formula: can we afford it?
Most of the time the answer is no…