The only point I was making is that the D.O.J. had done such a study.
Take it up with the D.O.J.
What is absurd is your claim that I want certain numbers to be true.
Yes they do; they put the true estimate at 108,000 per year. I don’t think that’s a paltry number. That’s 1997 numbers, btw; I have no idea where they are at today.
Hmmm. You want peer review? Talk to me or my neighbors that have had bears break into their home.
The only data I need is to know that I am safer with a gun at home. Ever chase bears off your property? I personaly do not care if the threat is on 4 legs or 2 legs.
I said before that I live in an very, very safe area. Part of the reason IMHO, is because everyone here is smart enough to have at the very least a rifle or shotgun.
It bothers me that there are people with absolutley no knowlege of firearms (that much is clear) would tell me if I need one or not.
Presumably you are trying to show why having a gun as a guest in someone’s home is reasonable because you might need to defend yourself. So we are looking to see what numbers we can glean to support or refute your notion. Since so far you seem to be on the side of carrying a gun in someone else’s home I presume you want to see numbers that back you up on that so you look reasonable.
108,000. Wow…big number! Till we put it in perspective.
In 1997 there were 267,637,000 people in the US. Let’s call it 200,000,000 adults to exclude kids (could not find a hard number on that in a quick search but seems in the ball park). 108,000 is 0.054% of the population.
We can try it another way. In 1997 there were 13,194,571 violent/property crimes (cite). 108,000 defenses represents 0.8% of crimes committed.
Hardly dazzling numbers. Then consider even the 108,000 number is questionable. Again from the same study:
I would add that we in no way know that a gun was the only means of defense that would work. No way to ever really tell this of course but I think it is safe to say there are circumstances where a gun is used in self defense that might have been resolved well for the defender even if they did not have a gun. Such circumstances much exist. A flip side to that is how many gun users escalate a situation unnecessarily and make it more dangerous? Again no way to tell but again such situations must occur which would mitigate the gun defense further.
In short defensive use of a gun is dubious at best. Certainly it happens but overall the numbers do not look to support that having a gun provides more safety than danger to those who have them. Certainly I cannot see how you having one in my house improves things for me.
That is a study of existing studies. Not original data collection that I see.
It bothers me that some people want to bring their guns into my home against my wishes. We have had posters in this thread who are highly educated on firearms and who almost everyone they know has firearms and who would not dream of taking one as a guest to another’s house. Point being knowledge of firearms does not preclude someone from wanting you to leave yours in the car.
I think this bears repeating, I would hazard a guess that generally speaking criminals fall into two broad categories.
Those that just want your proeprty / money without drama
Those that are there to seriously fuck you up come hell or high water.
For group 1 - yes, a gun will probably scare them off, but it may also intensify the situation by backing them into a corner or putting them under stress and force them into something they wouldn’t otehrwise have done. I personally don’t believe my property is worth it - but your mileage may vary of course.
For group 2, I think this group is relatively small, and that having a gun you will end up in a shootout - which may be a better outcome. But I would also suspect that many of this group get their guns from people that bought them legally (via theft, breakins etc) so without so many people having guns, they would never have got hold of a gun to be a threat in the first place.
Please let me be clear about this. I would never bring a gun into another persons house if it was against their wishes. I don’t carry so that’s not likely to be an issue in any case.
And yes, I do live in bear country. I keep a firearm loaded in the fall. That’s when they are likely to break in. Food and hibernation an all that tends to send them a bit over the edge. I’ve never had to shoot a bear, and hope I never do. I have kept a gun close when I scare them off by banging pots and pans together. Sometimes, that doesn’t work, and a round into a stump near the bear will shoo him off.
I understand that I share my home with them. I know that I impact their environment, and try as much as I can to live and let live.
That’s what’s bothering me about the latter part of this thread–people responding to friendly engagement from “I would leave it in the car” gun advocates as though they’re “I’ll bring my gun to your house hell or high water” folks.
Actually, it looks more to me like “Okay, I won’t bring my gun to your house because I shall generously but grudgingly respect your right to be a giant pussy who is ungrateful for all the freedom my gun guarantees you.”
Well, not exactly that, but it’s closer than what you said.
See, and that’s a shame, because it didn’t go off the rails until the latter half of this thread. Every other gun owner in this thread agreed without reservation, insults, or ludicrous scenarios that they would respect the wishes of the homeowners.
Thanks, susanann, BrandonR, Argent Towers and jtgain, we love carrying the weight of your patently absurd arguments, and we appreciate that nobody remembers any arguments but the ones that you have made. It makes it so much easier to have rational discussions in the future.
Gun Owners who think it’s reasonable/understandable to say “don’t carry in my house” (or who expressed no opinion but a blanket “will comply”) and would comply: 14
Gun Owners who will comply but got even marginally bent out of shape by it: 4
Gun Owners who would not comply: 2
So basically of twenty gun owners I counted responding in this thread, 90% would comply with aforementioned reasonable request to leave the guns out, and only 30% would make any kind of stink about it at all.
I love primary research.
I wouldn’t even think it’s an issue if people weren’t responding to gun owners on the “your home, your right, no problem” side as though they were on the same side as Argent or jtgain or susanann or BrandonR.
So we are looking to see what numbers we can glean to support or refute your notion. Since so far you seem to be on the side of carrying a gun in someone else’s home I presume you want to see numbers that back you up on that so you look reasonable.
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Presumably you have NOT read this thread, or have a very selective memory, or are flat-out engaging in untruths.
I have maintained throughout this thread that I think it behooves someone “carrying” to respect their host’s wishes on the matter.
You’re right; 108,000 is unquestionably low-end. Other studies put the numbers approximately an order of magnitude higher. Coincidentally, The D.O.J.'s initial estimate of 1.5 million agrees with the Kleck-Gertz probable estimate.
The problem with the D.O.J.'s methodology is that they compare their numbers to reported crime statistics. Unfortunately, the various law enforcement agencies are not set up to report non-crimes that didn’t happen because someone attempting to engage in a criminal act quit/went away after the attempt was reported, but before the police arrived. Or an armed person scared away/drove off someone attempting to engage in a criminal act after they called 911 but before the police arrived.
So the police, working by evidentiary rules, can’t say a robbery didn’t happen, they can’t estimate what crime(s) may have taken place if someone was attempting to actually break into someone’s home. All they can report is probably along the lines of property vandalism, or somesuch.
Since I never insisted upon bringing a gun into your home, and have consistently maintained that the homeowner’s desires are paramount, you can stop making this argument to me; it is a rebuttal to an argument I have not made.
It was a comprehensive review by the C.D.C. of existing studies, studying the impact of gun control.
It meets two of the criteria you were bitching about:
It was a government funded/conducted study by a reputable government agency;
:dubious: Absurd argument? I said I would comply with the homeowner’s request! The only point I ever argued was how comparatively small the risk of carrying a concealed weapon was. The true absurdity came from people claiming that a kid was somehow going to discover and locate a concealed firearm from a person, disarm said person, and then use the gun to blow their brains out or some other outlandish scenario.
Well, that and your contention that all responsible gun owners are superhuman creatures who never fall asleep after big meals or put things down just for a moment or forget for a millisecond that they are carrying a gun.