Neither Hawking radiation nor particle materialization in a high energy field is directly analogous to the initial moment of creation. I posted that in response to the comment about conditions under which virtual particles might not mutually annihilate before crossing the perceptive threshold. (Yeah, lan Fan, I think you are right about the balancing factor for Hawking radiation. I really need to brush up on my Hawking.)
The initial moment of creation often generally discussed as a quantum singularity (or a bubble in the quantum foam, if you prefer) which for reasons that may or may not defy explanation undergoes an incredibly rapid perios of expansion in 4 dimensions (and collapse in 6 or more others, for those who like playing with string). Standard cosmology does not propose an explanation for the rapid expansion and does not, to the best of my knowledge, have a good model for those intial instants before the collapse of the “extra” dimensions.
Hawking and Hartle (thanks for the link, knappy, I knew I needed to brush up) have propsed a quantum cosmological model that purports to account for both the initial boundary condition and the cause of the expansion. I haven’t found anything yet to indicate whether it accounts for the collapse of supernumerary dimensions.
IF[sup]1[/sup] I understand correctly, Hawking and Hartle have created a mathematical model (4-dimensional hypersphere–all dimensions spatial) whose ground-state topography (curvature and matter fields), if taken as boundary conditions, can successfully account for the intial 3-space (“classical” dimensinal model) of our Universe.
Under this theory, the predicted perturbations in the wave form (required by HUP–and modeled as virtual black hole materializations by Hawking-Hartle) are sufficient to generate the intial 3-space of our Universe (basically the first cross-section of our 4-dimensional Universe[sub]not the 4-space hypershpere[/sub]). The probability that the initial hypersphere will generate that particular 3-space topography can be derived from the probability amplitude of our spacetime as a whole.[sup]2[/sup]
If Hawking and Hartle are correct, the first cause is simply a perturbation in a Heisenberg waveform.
I have to say, though, that I found Smith’s (author of the paper in Knappy’s link) arguments for the necessary consequences of quantum cosmology on the existence of God to be overblown and unconvincing. To argue that God is necessarily excluded as a cause if natural probability can account for the effect is no more convincing than arguing that God cannot be an active force in the natural world since all outcomes have a natural probability of occurring.
Of course, if Hawking and Hartle are correct, then it does directly contradict the argument that God is a necessary factor to explain creation.
[sup]1[/sup] I would welcome input from anyone more familiar with Hawking and Hartle’s work. I wasn’t able to find any decent treatments in the cursory search I ran in the planck interval before the urge to post overwhelmed me.
[sup]2[/sup]I think there is an error (typo) in the page linked. Where the author has: The function psi[h[sub]ij[/sub], phi] is the probability ‘amplitude for the occurrence of a given spacetime [as a whole]’ he should have written psi[g[sub]uv[/sub], phi]. I stumbled for a bit until I realized that.