Let’s first get out of the way that this Kawasaki Disease (KD) like illness is not a reason for parents to panic. It is very rare, and as of yet it is not even firmly established that it is a causative association. The reality remains that kids are at much less risk of getting very sick from COVID-19 than they are from influenza. And orders of magnitude less risk than adults.
But I can’t help but wonder if the same factors that make severe COVID-19 so extremely uncommon in children set some very few up for this rare event … and if some of what is already known about those who get KD can provide clues to investigate to why some adults are at greater or lesser risk for severe COVID-19 … ?
KD has been thought of as a response to some infectious disease trigger(s) in genetically susceptible children. It often occurs in clusters and with some seasonality. It is associated with a strong innate immune response and in particular with CD8+ T-cell clonal expansions. Genetically it is ten times more common in those of Japanese ancestry (including those living Western lifestyles) than those of European ancestry and a specific variation at a gene called ITPKC, which has to do with negative regulation of activated T-cells, increase risk significantly. It is not the only gene with association however, just the strongest association.
The SARS-CoV-2 related disease *seems *to be a postinfection sequelae, with the primary infection having been asymptomatic. In some cases the patients’ PCR was negative but they later developed SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies.
More severe COVID-19 is associated with low WBC counts and in specific “exhausted” CD8+ cells.
The degree and importance of T-cell cross-reactivity is unclear in general and how or even if baseline serologies to common cold causing coronaviruses impact responses to SARS-CoV-2 is to be determined. That said rises in IgG to the common old causing CVs have been seen in the course of response to SARS-CoV-2 as they were in response to SARS-CoV.
Obviously my speculations can go crazy but I’ll go this far out: understanding why some children get that KD-like response (if it is a true causation) will help understanding of why kids in general so rarely get very ill from COVID-19, and that may help identify those adults at higher or lower risk and create treatment targets and impact model predictions/prevention approaches.