I hate to start yet another Monty Hall thread (see Unca Cecil’s column), but this is really a new tangent.
Apparently humans – and this applies across cultures – have very good reasons for not intuitively understanding the Monty Hall problem. Pigeons, on the other hand, easily figure it out and eventually start switching almost 100% of the time.
And the reason has to do with the different ways humans and pigeons figure out probabilities.
I, for one, will not go down without a fight. Peanuts coated with cyanide should do the trick. I’ll murder them all amidst laughter and merriment, except for the few I take home to experiment.