I missed this one the first time around. The original UN partition of Palestine lacked a fundamental fairness. It was specifically designed to (using UN numbers) take a region (Palestine) that had a 33% Jewish minority, and create a state with a 55% Jewish Majority. The other region would be a 99% Arab state. There’s no other way to describe this as gerrymandering in order to reduce the power of the Arab population and deny them self determination. Let’s say that the native Arab population decided to ignore this obvious inequity and go along with the division as is.
What do you think the political landscape of this newly formed Israel would be? Obviously this is all speculation and we will never know for sure, but lets play along anyways. The state would be 55% Jewish and 45% Arab. What do you think the probability that an Arab would be the first prime minister of this newly formed Israel? In my humble opinion, that probability is essentially zero. Jews would be in the majority, and I don’t think the leaders at that time were very much about sharing power with the Arabs.
The parliament would break down into a Jewish block and an Arab block. The Jewish block would have more votes, and essentially be able to control policy of the new state. They would have control of all the cabinet positions, and could control the military, police, and courts. They would hold the important mayorships and governorships. They would be able to set immigration policy, and that policy would likely favor Jewish immigration. Overtime, that would increase the Jewish majority, and reduce Arab power further.
That is what I mean by marginalization. The Arab minority would not wield any real power in Israel. They would not have access to the highest offices in the government, and would not be able to set policy. In essence, they would be second class citizens.
Maybe the above scenario wouldn’t have taken place, and the Jews would have shared power. The scenario above is what would be going through my mind, and that’s what I would act on. The only way for Israel as created in '47 to function would be with a negotiated power sharing agreement, and neither side was willing to negotiate. That’s why the '47 plan was DOA, and why armed conflict was inevitable.
Put yourself in the shoes of an Arab. You and your family had lived there for a couple of generations as a overwhelming majority. Jewish immigrants illegally immigrate over the course of a few decades into your country. The UN comes along and tells you that you are now going to be a minority in the new state of Israel. Is there any chance you would say “okey dokey”? I know I wouldn’t.